Diplomatic talks between the US and Turkey on rejoining the F-35 program resumed in late 2025, driven by improved bilateral ties under the Trump administration and NATO alignment needs, with US Ambassador Tom Barrack publicly noting ongoing discussions over the S-400 systems and potential breakthroughs. President Trump signaled possible progress ahead of the July 2026 NATO summit in Ankara, while Turkish officials expressed optimism about lifting CAATSA-related restrictions. However, the State Department confirmed in a July 22, 2026, letter to Congress that Turkey has not met statutory requirements for F-35 access or transfers, amid active legislative efforts by lawmakers to block reintegration. The S-400 compliance issue, congressional oversight, and certification processes remain central hurdles that traders weigh against any executive momentum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$27,094 Vol.
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Turkey becomes formally included in the F-35 program between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Turkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur:
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner;
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or
- the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.
Statements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.
Once a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.Diplomatic talks between the US and Turkey on rejoining the F-35 program resumed in late 2025, driven by improved bilateral ties under the Trump administration and NATO alignment needs, with US Ambassador Tom Barrack publicly noting ongoing discussions over the S-400 systems and potential breakthroughs. President Trump signaled possible progress ahead of the July 2026 NATO summit in Ankara, while Turkish officials expressed optimism about lifting CAATSA-related restrictions. However, the State Department confirmed in a July 22, 2026, letter to Congress that Turkey has not met statutory requirements for F-35 access or transfers, amid active legislative efforts by lawmakers to block reintegration. The S-400 compliance issue, congressional oversight, and certification processes remain central hurdles that traders weigh against any executive momentum.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Turkey becomes formally included in the F-35 program between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Turkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur:
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner;
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or
- the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.
Statements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.
Once a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.
Turkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur:
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner;
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or
- the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.
Statements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.
Once a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 14, 2026, 10:15 AM ET
Volume
$27,094Data di fine
30 giu 2027Mercato aperto
Jul 14, 2026, 10:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Turkey becomes formally included in the F-35 program between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Turkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur:
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner;
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or
- the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.
Statements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.
Once a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.Diplomatic talks between the US and Turkey on rejoining the F-35 program resumed in late 2025, driven by improved bilateral ties under the Trump administration and NATO alignment needs, with US Ambassador Tom Barrack publicly noting ongoing discussions over the S-400 systems and potential breakthroughs. President Trump signaled possible progress ahead of the July 2026 NATO summit in Ankara, while Turkish officials expressed optimism about lifting CAATSA-related restrictions. However, the State Department confirmed in a July 22, 2026, letter to Congress that Turkey has not met statutory requirements for F-35 access or transfers, amid active legislative efforts by lawmakers to block reintegration. The S-400 compliance issue, congressional oversight, and certification processes remain central hurdles that traders weigh against any executive momentum.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Turkey becomes formally included in the F-35 program between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Turkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur:
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner;
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or
- the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.
Statements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.
Once a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.
Turkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur:
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner;
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or
- the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.
Statements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.
Once a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.
Volume
$27,094Data di fine
30 giu 2027Mercato aperto
Jul 14, 2026, 10:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Diplomatic talks between the US and Turkey on rejoining the F-35 program resumed in late 2025, driven by improved bilateral ties under the Trump administration and NATO alignment needs, with US Ambassador Tom Barrack publicly noting ongoing discussions over the S-400 systems and potential breakthroughs. President Trump signaled possible progress ahead of the July 2026 NATO summit in Ankara, while Turkish officials expressed optimism about lifting CAATSA-related restrictions. However, the State Department confirmed in a July 22, 2026, letter to Congress that Turkey has not met statutory requirements for F-35 access or transfers, amid active legislative efforts by lawmakers to block reintegration. The S-400 compliance issue, congressional oversight, and certification processes remain central hurdles that traders weigh against any executive momentum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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