Recent national polls, including a Marquette Law School survey from early September and others from Reuters/Ipsos and Fox News, have placed President Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s, with figures ranging from 35% to 39%. Persistent public concern over inflation, higher gasoline prices tied to the U.S.-Iran conflict, and broader economic conditions continues to weigh on ratings, particularly among independents and even some conservative respondents. These factors have produced limited movement in recent weeks, aligning trader consensus on the 38.0–38.9 range for the September 25 reading. No major new events in the immediate days ahead are expected to shift the trajectory before the measurement date.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato38,0–38,4 39%
38,5–38,9 31%
39,0–39,4 21%
37,5–37,9 9%
<37,5
5%
37,5–37,9
9%
38,0–38,4
39%
38,5–38,9
31%
39,0–39,4
21%
39,5+
5%
38,0–38,4 39%
38,5–38,9 31%
39,0–39,4 21%
37,5–37,9 9%
<37,5
5%
37,5–37,9
9%
38,0–38,4
39%
38,5–38,9
31%
39,0–39,4
21%
39,5+
5%
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercato aperto: Sep 20, 2026, 10:03 AM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent national polls, including a Marquette Law School survey from early September and others from Reuters/Ipsos and Fox News, have placed President Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s, with figures ranging from 35% to 39%. Persistent public concern over inflation, higher gasoline prices tied to the U.S.-Iran conflict, and broader economic conditions continues to weigh on ratings, particularly among independents and even some conservative respondents. These factors have produced limited movement in recent weeks, aligning trader consensus on the 38.0–38.9 range for the September 25 reading. No major new events in the immediate days ahead are expected to shift the trajectory before the measurement date.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



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