President Donald Trump's approval ratings have declined to the low 40s in recent polls, including a Quinnipiac survey showing 38% approval amid backlash to the ongoing war in Iran and surging gas prices fueling inflation concerns. Polling averages from RealClearPolitics (40.9%) and CNN (37%) reflect a net disapproval of around -17 to -20 points, the lowest of his second term, following U.S. military actions like Operation Epic Fury in March that most Americans view as excessive per AP-NORC data. Trader sentiment anticipates limited peaks in 2026 without de-escalation, as affordability dominates ahead of November midterms, where Republican control hinges on economic relief and foreign policy shifts. Historical second-term patterns show swings tied to such catalysts, though rapid changes remain possible.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHow high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
NUOVO
31 dic 2026
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.President Donald Trump's approval ratings have declined to the low 40s in recent polls, including a Quinnipiac survey showing 38% approval amid backlash to the ongoing war in Iran and surging gas prices fueling inflation concerns. Polling averages from RealClearPolitics (40.9%) and CNN (37%) reflect a net disapproval of around -17 to -20 points, the lowest of his second term, following U.S. military actions like Operation Epic Fury in March that most Americans view as excessive per AP-NORC data. Trader sentiment anticipates limited peaks in 2026 without de-escalation, as affordability dominates ahead of November midterms, where Republican control hinges on economic relief and foreign policy shifts. Historical second-term patterns show swings tied to such catalysts, though rapid changes remain possible.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Mercato aperto: Dec 11, 2025, 7:33 PM ET
Volume
$3,373Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 11, 2025, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.President Donald Trump's approval ratings have declined to the low 40s in recent polls, including a Quinnipiac survey showing 38% approval amid backlash to the ongoing war in Iran and surging gas prices fueling inflation concerns. Polling averages from RealClearPolitics (40.9%) and CNN (37%) reflect a net disapproval of around -17 to -20 points, the lowest of his second term, following U.S. military actions like Operation Epic Fury in March that most Americans view as excessive per AP-NORC data. Trader sentiment anticipates limited peaks in 2026 without de-escalation, as affordability dominates ahead of November midterms, where Republican control hinges on economic relief and foreign policy shifts. Historical second-term patterns show swings tied to such catalysts, though rapid changes remain possible.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Volume
$3,373Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 11, 2025, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump's approval ratings have declined to the low 40s in recent polls, including a Quinnipiac survey showing 38% approval amid backlash to the ongoing war in Iran and surging gas prices fueling inflation concerns. Polling averages from RealClearPolitics (40.9%) and CNN (37%) reflect a net disapproval of around -17 to -20 points, the lowest of his second term, following U.S. military actions like Operation Epic Fury in March that most Americans view as excessive per AP-NORC data. Trader sentiment anticipates limited peaks in 2026 without de-escalation, as affordability dominates ahead of November midterms, where Republican control hinges on economic relief and foreign policy shifts. Historical second-term patterns show swings tied to such catalysts, though rapid changes remain possible.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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