The United States continues its 34-year moratorium on explosive nuclear weapons testing, last conducted in 1992, despite President Trump's October 2025 order to the Pentagon to resume activities amid New START's expiration and rival nuclear advances by Russia and China. No explosive tests have occurred, with Department of Energy officials specifying only non-explosive subcritical experiments; technical reactivation of the Nevada National Security Site could take years due to dormant infrastructure and Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty norms. The FY2026 budget seeks $4.2 billion for stockpile stewardship, research, testing, and evaluation—up significantly—but lacks explicit test funding. Recent focus remains on civilian advanced reactors and NASA space nuclear propulsion memos, with no weapons test developments in the past 30 days; Senate Armed Services Committee reviews could influence future paths.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoTest nucleare statunitense di...?
Test nucleare statunitense di...?
$638,379 Vol.
30 giu 2026
30 giugno 2026
1%
30 settembre 2026
8%
31 dicembre 2026
14%
$638,379 Vol.
30 giugno 2026
$23,204 Vol.
1%
30 settembre 2026
$2,096 Vol.
8%
31 dicembre 2026
$2,860 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.The United States continues its 34-year moratorium on explosive nuclear weapons testing, last conducted in 1992, despite President Trump's October 2025 order to the Pentagon to resume activities amid New START's expiration and rival nuclear advances by Russia and China. No explosive tests have occurred, with Department of Energy officials specifying only non-explosive subcritical experiments; technical reactivation of the Nevada National Security Site could take years due to dormant infrastructure and Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty norms. The FY2026 budget seeks $4.2 billion for stockpile stewardship, research, testing, and evaluation—up significantly—but lacks explicit test funding. Recent focus remains on civilian advanced reactors and NASA space nuclear propulsion memos, with no weapons test developments in the past 30 days; Senate Armed Services Committee reviews could influence future paths.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ET
Volume
$638,379Data di fine
31 mar 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.The United States continues its 34-year moratorium on explosive nuclear weapons testing, last conducted in 1992, despite President Trump's October 2025 order to the Pentagon to resume activities amid New START's expiration and rival nuclear advances by Russia and China. No explosive tests have occurred, with Department of Energy officials specifying only non-explosive subcritical experiments; technical reactivation of the Nevada National Security Site could take years due to dormant infrastructure and Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty norms. The FY2026 budget seeks $4.2 billion for stockpile stewardship, research, testing, and evaluation—up significantly—but lacks explicit test funding. Recent focus remains on civilian advanced reactors and NASA space nuclear propulsion memos, with no weapons test developments in the past 30 days; Senate Armed Services Committee reviews could influence future paths.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$638,379Data di fine
31 mar 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The United States continues its 34-year moratorium on explosive nuclear weapons testing, last conducted in 1992, despite President Trump's October 2025 order to the Pentagon to resume activities amid New START's expiration and rival nuclear advances by Russia and China. No explosive tests have occurred, with Department of Energy officials specifying only non-explosive subcritical experiments; technical reactivation of the Nevada National Security Site could take years due to dormant infrastructure and Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty norms. The FY2026 budget seeks $4.2 billion for stockpile stewardship, research, testing, and evaluation—up significantly—but lacks explicit test funding. Recent focus remains on civilian advanced reactors and NASA space nuclear propulsion memos, with no weapons test developments in the past 30 days; Senate Armed Services Committee reviews could influence future paths.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti