Recent polls place Otzma Yehudit in the 6–9 Knesset seat range ahead of the October 27 election, reflecting steady support for the party’s ultranationalist platform amid competition from Religious Zionism, new right-wing lists, and Likud for overlapping voters. Finalized candidate slates, including the addition of a Haredi candidate and former Likud MK Tally Gotliv in the second slot, have not produced measurable shifts in surveys conducted after the September 8–9 registration deadline. The broader deadlock between the Netanyahu-aligned and Eisenkot-led blocs has kept right-wing fragmentation high, limiting any single party’s ability to consolidate additional seats. Traders’ pricing across the 5.5–7.5% buckets aligns with these polling averages and the limited time remaining for campaign events or late developments to alter turnout patterns among the party’s core constituencies.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato4,5-5,5% 28%
<4,5% 27%
7,5%+ 25%
5,5-6,5% 0
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 nov 2026
<4,5%
27%
4,5-5,5%
28%
5,5-6,5%
38%
6,5-7,5%
46%
7,5%+
25%
4,5-5,5% 28%
<4,5% 27%
7,5%+ 25%
5,5-6,5% 0
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 nov 2026
<4,5%
$13 Vol.
27%
4,5-5,5%
$13 Vol.
28%
5,5-6,5%
$78 Vol.
38%
6,5-7,5%
$114 Vol.
46%
7,5%+
$231 Vol.
25%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polls place Otzma Yehudit in the 6–9 Knesset seat range ahead of the October 27 election, reflecting steady support for the party’s ultranationalist platform amid competition from Religious Zionism, new right-wing lists, and Likud for overlapping voters. Finalized candidate slates, including the addition of a Haredi candidate and former Likud MK Tally Gotliv in the second slot, have not produced measurable shifts in surveys conducted after the September 8–9 registration deadline. The broader deadlock between the Netanyahu-aligned and Eisenkot-led blocs has kept right-wing fragmentation high, limiting any single party’s ability to consolidate additional seats. Traders’ pricing across the 5.5–7.5% buckets aligns with these polling averages and the limited time remaining for campaign events or late developments to alter turnout patterns among the party’s core constituencies.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Mercato aperto: Sep 8, 2026, 4:18 PM ET
Volume
$449Data di fine
27 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 8, 2026, 4:18 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polls place Otzma Yehudit in the 6–9 Knesset seat range ahead of the October 27 election, reflecting steady support for the party’s ultranationalist platform amid competition from Religious Zionism, new right-wing lists, and Likud for overlapping voters. Finalized candidate slates, including the addition of a Haredi candidate and former Likud MK Tally Gotliv in the second slot, have not produced measurable shifts in surveys conducted after the September 8–9 registration deadline. The broader deadlock between the Netanyahu-aligned and Eisenkot-led blocs has kept right-wing fragmentation high, limiting any single party’s ability to consolidate additional seats. Traders’ pricing across the 5.5–7.5% buckets aligns with these polling averages and the limited time remaining for campaign events or late developments to alter turnout patterns among the party’s core constituencies.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Volume
$449Data di fine
27 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 8, 2026, 4:18 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls place Otzma Yehudit in the 6–9 Knesset seat range ahead of the October 27 election, reflecting steady support for the party’s ultranationalist platform amid competition from Religious Zionism, new right-wing lists, and Likud for overlapping voters. Finalized candidate slates, including the addition of a Haredi candidate and former Likud MK Tally Gotliv in the second slot, have not produced measurable shifts in surveys conducted after the September 8–9 registration deadline. The broader deadlock between the Netanyahu-aligned and Eisenkot-led blocs has kept right-wing fragmentation high, limiting any single party’s ability to consolidate additional seats. Traders’ pricing across the 5.5–7.5% buckets aligns with these polling averages and the limited time remaining for campaign events or late developments to alter turnout patterns among the party’s core constituencies.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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