Iowa’s 2026 Senate race for the open seat vacated by retiring Republican Joni Ernst pits Republican nominee Ashley Hinson against Democrat Josh Turek in a contest shaped by the state’s consistent Republican tilt. Hinson, a sitting U.S. representative with strong fundraising totals, Trump endorsement, and primary victory, benefits from higher name recognition and alignment with the state’s voting patterns in recent cycles. Turek, a state representative who won his nomination, has shown competitiveness in some surveys through targeted outreach, but Democratic performance in Iowa statewide races remains limited. Recent polling averages reflect a narrow margin, with forecasters rating the race from toss-up to lean Republican. Upcoming October debates and ongoing attacks on legislative records and fundraising provide potential catalysts, though the Republican structural position continues to anchor trader assessments of the outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni del Senato dell'Iowa
Vincitore delle elezioni del Senato dell'Iowa
$226,608 Vol.
$226,608 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Ashley Hinson (R)
64%
Josh Turek (D)
37%
$226,608 Vol.
$226,608 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Ashley Hinson (R)
$117,342 Vol.
64%
Josh Turek (D)
$109,266 Vol.
37%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Iowa’s 2026 Senate race for the open seat vacated by retiring Republican Joni Ernst pits Republican nominee Ashley Hinson against Democrat Josh Turek in a contest shaped by the state’s consistent Republican tilt. Hinson, a sitting U.S. representative with strong fundraising totals, Trump endorsement, and primary victory, benefits from higher name recognition and alignment with the state’s voting patterns in recent cycles. Turek, a state representative who won his nomination, has shown competitiveness in some surveys through targeted outreach, but Democratic performance in Iowa statewide races remains limited. Recent polling averages reflect a narrow margin, with forecasters rating the race from toss-up to lean Republican. Upcoming October debates and ongoing attacks on legislative records and fundraising provide potential catalysts, though the Republican structural position continues to anchor trader assessments of the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ET
Volume
$226,608Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Iowa’s 2026 Senate race for the open seat vacated by retiring Republican Joni Ernst pits Republican nominee Ashley Hinson against Democrat Josh Turek in a contest shaped by the state’s consistent Republican tilt. Hinson, a sitting U.S. representative with strong fundraising totals, Trump endorsement, and primary victory, benefits from higher name recognition and alignment with the state’s voting patterns in recent cycles. Turek, a state representative who won his nomination, has shown competitiveness in some surveys through targeted outreach, but Democratic performance in Iowa statewide races remains limited. Recent polling averages reflect a narrow margin, with forecasters rating the race from toss-up to lean Republican. Upcoming October debates and ongoing attacks on legislative records and fundraising provide potential catalysts, though the Republican structural position continues to anchor trader assessments of the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$226,608Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Iowa’s 2026 Senate race for the open seat vacated by retiring Republican Joni Ernst pits Republican nominee Ashley Hinson against Democrat Josh Turek in a contest shaped by the state’s consistent Republican tilt. Hinson, a sitting U.S. representative with strong fundraising totals, Trump endorsement, and primary victory, benefits from higher name recognition and alignment with the state’s voting patterns in recent cycles. Turek, a state representative who won his nomination, has shown competitiveness in some surveys through targeted outreach, but Democratic performance in Iowa statewide races remains limited. Recent polling averages reflect a narrow margin, with forecasters rating the race from toss-up to lean Republican. Upcoming October debates and ongoing attacks on legislative records and fundraising provide potential catalysts, though the Republican structural position continues to anchor trader assessments of the outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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