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Elezioni·Midterms

Vincitore delle elezioni del Senato del Minnesota

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Elezioni·Midterms

Vincitore delle elezioni del Senato del Minnesota

$20,393 Vol.

Polymarket

$20,393 Vol.

I Democratici vinceranno la corsa al Senato del Minnesota nel 2026? icon

Democratico

$14,700 Vol.

94%

I repubblicani vinceranno la corsa al Senato del Minnesota nel 2026? icon

Repubblicano

$5,693 Vol.

7%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Tina Smith's February 2025 retirement announcement opened Minnesota's Senate seat, yet trader consensus prices Democratic victory at 93.5% reflecting the state's partisan lean and early polling edges. Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan leads Rep. Angie Craig in the competitive August 11 Democratic primary—52%-22% in a February PPP survey—despite Craig's fundraising dominance highlighted April 15, while general election hypotheticals show both Democrats ahead of leading Republican Michele Tafoya by 6-7 points in Emerson's February poll. Fragmented GOP primary contenders further bolsters the edge. Realistic challenges include Republican unification behind a strong nominee, Democratic primary bitterness eroding turnout, nominee scandals like immigration vote disputes, or a national Republican wave before the November 3 election.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$20,393
Data di fine
3 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Tina Smith's February 2025 retirement announcement opened Minnesota's Senate seat, yet trader consensus prices Democratic victory at 93.5% reflecting the state's partisan lean and early polling edges. Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan leads Rep. Angie Craig in the competitive August 11 Democratic primary—52%-22% in a February PPP survey—despite Craig's fundraising dominance highlighted April 15, while general election hypotheticals show both Democrats ahead of leading Republican Michele Tafoya by 6-7 points in Emerson's February poll. Fragmented GOP primary contenders further bolsters the edge. Realistic challenges include Republican unification behind a strong nominee, Democratic primary bitterness eroding turnout, nominee scandals like immigration vote disputes, or a national Republican wave before the November 3 election.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$20,393
Data di fine
3 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

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Domande frequenti

"Vincitore delle elezioni del Senato del Minnesota" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 2 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Democratico" a 94%, seguito da "Repubblicano" a 7%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 94¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 94% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Vincitore delle elezioni del Senato del Minnesota" ha generato $20.4K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Oct 13, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore delle elezioni del Senato del Minnesota", esplora i 2 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore delle elezioni del Senato del Minnesota" è "Democratico" a 94%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 94% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Repubblicano" a 7%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore delle elezioni del Senato del Minnesota" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.