Pennsylvania's 3rd congressional district remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats nationwide, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+40 and a Philadelphia-based electorate that is nearly half Black and overwhelmingly urban. Incumbent Dwight Evans's retirement created an open seat, but Chris Rabb secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary. No Republican candidates appeared on the primary ballot, leaving the general election on November 3 without meaningful opposition. Current trader consensus at 95.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with the district's consistent voting history and absence of competitive factors. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include an unexpected late withdrawal, significant scandal, or unprecedented turnout surge, though none show signs of materializing ahead of Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoPA-03 Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera
PA-03 Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera
$29,430 Vol.
$29,430 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
96%
Partito Repubblicano
2%
$29,430 Vol.
$29,430 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
$18,734 Vol.
96%
Partito Repubblicano
$10,696 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pennsylvania's 3rd congressional district remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats nationwide, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+40 and a Philadelphia-based electorate that is nearly half Black and overwhelmingly urban. Incumbent Dwight Evans's retirement created an open seat, but Chris Rabb secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary. No Republican candidates appeared on the primary ballot, leaving the general election on November 3 without meaningful opposition. Current trader consensus at 95.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with the district's consistent voting history and absence of competitive factors. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include an unexpected late withdrawal, significant scandal, or unprecedented turnout surge, though none show signs of materializing ahead of Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$29,430Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pennsylvania's 3rd congressional district remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats nationwide, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+40 and a Philadelphia-based electorate that is nearly half Black and overwhelmingly urban. Incumbent Dwight Evans's retirement created an open seat, but Chris Rabb secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary. No Republican candidates appeared on the primary ballot, leaving the general election on November 3 without meaningful opposition. Current trader consensus at 95.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with the district's consistent voting history and absence of competitive factors. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include an unexpected late withdrawal, significant scandal, or unprecedented turnout surge, though none show signs of materializing ahead of Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$29,430Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Pennsylvania's 3rd congressional district remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats nationwide, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+40 and a Philadelphia-based electorate that is nearly half Black and overwhelmingly urban. Incumbent Dwight Evans's retirement created an open seat, but Chris Rabb secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary. No Republican candidates appeared on the primary ballot, leaving the general election on November 3 without meaningful opposition. Current trader consensus at 95.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with the district's consistent voting history and absence of competitive factors. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include an unexpected late withdrawal, significant scandal, or unprecedented turnout surge, though none show signs of materializing ahead of Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti