The district's deep Democratic lean, reflected in a D+40 Partisan Voter Index and an 88-11 margin for the Democratic presidential nominee in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5%. Incumbent Dwight Evans's retirement created an open seat, but Chris Rabb secured the Democratic nomination in the May 19 primary and faces minimal Republican opposition in the November 3 general election. This structural advantage has kept Republican odds at just 5.5%. Late developments such as a major scandal involving the Democratic candidate, unusually low Democratic turnout, or an unprecedented national political shift could narrow the margin, though historical voting patterns in Philadelphia-based PA-03 indicate such outcomes remain remote.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoPA-03 Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera
PA-03 Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera
$16,477 Vol.
$16,477 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
95%
Partito Repubblicano
6%
$16,477 Vol.
$16,477 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
$10,573 Vol.
95%
Partito Repubblicano
$5,904 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's deep Democratic lean, reflected in a D+40 Partisan Voter Index and an 88-11 margin for the Democratic presidential nominee in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5%. Incumbent Dwight Evans's retirement created an open seat, but Chris Rabb secured the Democratic nomination in the May 19 primary and faces minimal Republican opposition in the November 3 general election. This structural advantage has kept Republican odds at just 5.5%. Late developments such as a major scandal involving the Democratic candidate, unusually low Democratic turnout, or an unprecedented national political shift could narrow the margin, though historical voting patterns in Philadelphia-based PA-03 indicate such outcomes remain remote.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$16,477Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's deep Democratic lean, reflected in a D+40 Partisan Voter Index and an 88-11 margin for the Democratic presidential nominee in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5%. Incumbent Dwight Evans's retirement created an open seat, but Chris Rabb secured the Democratic nomination in the May 19 primary and faces minimal Republican opposition in the November 3 general election. This structural advantage has kept Republican odds at just 5.5%. Late developments such as a major scandal involving the Democratic candidate, unusually low Democratic turnout, or an unprecedented national political shift could narrow the margin, though historical voting patterns in Philadelphia-based PA-03 indicate such outcomes remain remote.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$16,477Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's deep Democratic lean, reflected in a D+40 Partisan Voter Index and an 88-11 margin for the Democratic presidential nominee in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5%. Incumbent Dwight Evans's retirement created an open seat, but Chris Rabb secured the Democratic nomination in the May 19 primary and faces minimal Republican opposition in the November 3 general election. This structural advantage has kept Republican odds at just 5.5%. Late developments such as a major scandal involving the Democratic candidate, unusually low Democratic turnout, or an unprecedented national political shift could narrow the margin, though historical voting patterns in Philadelphia-based PA-03 indicate such outcomes remain remote.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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