Incumbent Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul maintains a commanding position in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. New York’s consistent Democratic lean, demonstrated by Kamala Harris’s double-digit margin in the 2024 presidential contest, combines with Hochul’s primary consolidation after her main challenger withdrew and her substantial fundraising edge. Recent Siena polling shows her leading Republican nominee Bruce Blakeman, the Nassau County executive endorsed by President Trump, by roughly 10 points among likely voters. The Republican nominee’s limited statewide profile further reinforces the gap. Scenarios that could narrow this include major late-cycle polling shifts, unexpected economic pressures, or turnout surges on the Republican side, though current evidence shows no such developments altering the baseline outlook.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni del Governatore di New York
Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore di New York
$103,509 Vol.
$103,509 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratico
95%
Repubblicano
6%
$103,509 Vol.
$103,509 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratico
$49,090 Vol.
95%
Repubblicano
$54,419 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul maintains a commanding position in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. New York’s consistent Democratic lean, demonstrated by Kamala Harris’s double-digit margin in the 2024 presidential contest, combines with Hochul’s primary consolidation after her main challenger withdrew and her substantial fundraising edge. Recent Siena polling shows her leading Republican nominee Bruce Blakeman, the Nassau County executive endorsed by President Trump, by roughly 10 points among likely voters. The Republican nominee’s limited statewide profile further reinforces the gap. Scenarios that could narrow this include major late-cycle polling shifts, unexpected economic pressures, or turnout surges on the Republican side, though current evidence shows no such developments altering the baseline outlook.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
Volume
$103,509Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul maintains a commanding position in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. New York’s consistent Democratic lean, demonstrated by Kamala Harris’s double-digit margin in the 2024 presidential contest, combines with Hochul’s primary consolidation after her main challenger withdrew and her substantial fundraising edge. Recent Siena polling shows her leading Republican nominee Bruce Blakeman, the Nassau County executive endorsed by President Trump, by roughly 10 points among likely voters. The Republican nominee’s limited statewide profile further reinforces the gap. Scenarios that could narrow this include major late-cycle polling shifts, unexpected economic pressures, or turnout surges on the Republican side, though current evidence shows no such developments altering the baseline outlook.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$103,509Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul maintains a commanding position in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. New York’s consistent Democratic lean, demonstrated by Kamala Harris’s double-digit margin in the 2024 presidential contest, combines with Hochul’s primary consolidation after her main challenger withdrew and her substantial fundraising edge. Recent Siena polling shows her leading Republican nominee Bruce Blakeman, the Nassau County executive endorsed by President Trump, by roughly 10 points among likely voters. The Republican nominee’s limited statewide profile further reinforces the gap. Scenarios that could narrow this include major late-cycle polling shifts, unexpected economic pressures, or turnout surges on the Republican side, though current evidence shows no such developments altering the baseline outlook.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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