Arizona's 5th Congressional District maintains a strong Republican partisan lean, reflected in its Cook Political Report Solid Republican rating and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, including a 20-point Trump victory in 2024. Mark Lamb secured the GOP nomination in the July 21 primary with former President Trump's endorsement, defeating self-funding challenger Daniel Keenan, while Elizabeth Lee won the Democratic primary. These factors, combined with the open-seat dynamic after Representative Andy Biggs's gubernatorial bid, underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 91.5%. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major late-cycle scandals, significant shifts in national political conditions, or unusually high Democratic turnout in the East Valley suburbs before the November 3 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoAZ-05 House Election Winner
AZ-05 House Election Winner
$36,256 Vol.
$36,256 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
9%
$36,256 Vol.
$36,256 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Republican Party
$20,782 Vol.
92%
Democratic Party
$15,473 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 5th Congressional District maintains a strong Republican partisan lean, reflected in its Cook Political Report Solid Republican rating and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, including a 20-point Trump victory in 2024. Mark Lamb secured the GOP nomination in the July 21 primary with former President Trump's endorsement, defeating self-funding challenger Daniel Keenan, while Elizabeth Lee won the Democratic primary. These factors, combined with the open-seat dynamic after Representative Andy Biggs's gubernatorial bid, underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 91.5%. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major late-cycle scandals, significant shifts in national political conditions, or unusually high Democratic turnout in the East Valley suburbs before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volume
$36,256Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 5th Congressional District maintains a strong Republican partisan lean, reflected in its Cook Political Report Solid Republican rating and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, including a 20-point Trump victory in 2024. Mark Lamb secured the GOP nomination in the July 21 primary with former President Trump's endorsement, defeating self-funding challenger Daniel Keenan, while Elizabeth Lee won the Democratic primary. These factors, combined with the open-seat dynamic after Representative Andy Biggs's gubernatorial bid, underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 91.5%. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major late-cycle scandals, significant shifts in national political conditions, or unusually high Democratic turnout in the East Valley suburbs before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$36,256Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Arizona's 5th Congressional District maintains a strong Republican partisan lean, reflected in its Cook Political Report Solid Republican rating and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, including a 20-point Trump victory in 2024. Mark Lamb secured the GOP nomination in the July 21 primary with former President Trump's endorsement, defeating self-funding challenger Daniel Keenan, while Elizabeth Lee won the Democratic primary. These factors, combined with the open-seat dynamic after Representative Andy Biggs's gubernatorial bid, underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 91.5%. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major late-cycle scandals, significant shifts in national political conditions, or unusually high Democratic turnout in the East Valley suburbs before the November 3 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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