Incumbent Democrat André Carson’s strong primary performance and the district’s entrenched partisan lean drive the current trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold in Indiana’s 7th congressional district. Centered on urban Indianapolis with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+21, the seat has produced Democratic margins above 65 percent in recent cycles, including Carson’s 2024 reelection. Major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election, where Carson faces Republican Patrick McAuley and Libertarian James Sceniak. The wisdom of crowds reflected in market pricing aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals. A late scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unprecedented national swing would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome before election night.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoIN-07 House Election Winner
IN-07 House Election Winner
$40,122 Vol.
$40,122 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratic Party
97%
Republican Party
<1%
$40,122 Vol.
$40,122 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$7,947 Vol.
97%
Republican Party
$32,174 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat André Carson’s strong primary performance and the district’s entrenched partisan lean drive the current trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold in Indiana’s 7th congressional district. Centered on urban Indianapolis with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+21, the seat has produced Democratic margins above 65 percent in recent cycles, including Carson’s 2024 reelection. Major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election, where Carson faces Republican Patrick McAuley and Libertarian James Sceniak. The wisdom of crowds reflected in market pricing aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals. A late scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unprecedented national swing would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome before election night.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$40,122Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat André Carson’s strong primary performance and the district’s entrenched partisan lean drive the current trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold in Indiana’s 7th congressional district. Centered on urban Indianapolis with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+21, the seat has produced Democratic margins above 65 percent in recent cycles, including Carson’s 2024 reelection. Major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election, where Carson faces Republican Patrick McAuley and Libertarian James Sceniak. The wisdom of crowds reflected in market pricing aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals. A late scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unprecedented national swing would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome before election night.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$40,122Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat André Carson’s strong primary performance and the district’s entrenched partisan lean drive the current trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold in Indiana’s 7th congressional district. Centered on urban Indianapolis with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+21, the seat has produced Democratic margins above 65 percent in recent cycles, including Carson’s 2024 reelection. Major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election, where Carson faces Republican Patrick McAuley and Libertarian James Sceniak. The wisdom of crowds reflected in market pricing aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals. A late scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unprecedented national swing would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome before election night.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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