The redrawn boundaries of Texas's 35th congressional district, adjusted in 2025 following requests from the Trump administration, have shifted the seat from a Democratic stronghold into a more competitive contest for the November 2026 general election. With incumbent Greg Casar pursuing another district, Democratic nominee Johnny Garcia and Republican nominee Carlos De La Cruz, both confirmed after May primary runoffs, now face off in a race where traders assign the Democratic Party a modest edge at 55.5 percent versus 43.5 percent for Republicans. This pricing reflects the district's urban and suburban demographics alongside the impact of redistricting on voter composition and turnout patterns. No major developments have emerged in recent weeks to alter positioning, leaving the outcome sensitive to broader midterm dynamics and voter mobilization efforts through election day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoTX-35 House Election Winner
TX-35 House Election Winner
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 nov 2026
Democratic Party
56%
Republican Party
44%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$4,281 Vol.
56%
Republican Party
$3,981 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The redrawn boundaries of Texas's 35th congressional district, adjusted in 2025 following requests from the Trump administration, have shifted the seat from a Democratic stronghold into a more competitive contest for the November 2026 general election. With incumbent Greg Casar pursuing another district, Democratic nominee Johnny Garcia and Republican nominee Carlos De La Cruz, both confirmed after May primary runoffs, now face off in a race where traders assign the Democratic Party a modest edge at 55.5 percent versus 43.5 percent for Republicans. This pricing reflects the district's urban and suburban demographics alongside the impact of redistricting on voter composition and turnout patterns. No major developments have emerged in recent weeks to alter positioning, leaving the outcome sensitive to broader midterm dynamics and voter mobilization efforts through election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Volume
$8,261Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The redrawn boundaries of Texas's 35th congressional district, adjusted in 2025 following requests from the Trump administration, have shifted the seat from a Democratic stronghold into a more competitive contest for the November 2026 general election. With incumbent Greg Casar pursuing another district, Democratic nominee Johnny Garcia and Republican nominee Carlos De La Cruz, both confirmed after May primary runoffs, now face off in a race where traders assign the Democratic Party a modest edge at 55.5 percent versus 43.5 percent for Republicans. This pricing reflects the district's urban and suburban demographics alongside the impact of redistricting on voter composition and turnout patterns. No major developments have emerged in recent weeks to alter positioning, leaving the outcome sensitive to broader midterm dynamics and voter mobilization efforts through election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$8,261Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The redrawn boundaries of Texas's 35th congressional district, adjusted in 2025 following requests from the Trump administration, have shifted the seat from a Democratic stronghold into a more competitive contest for the November 2026 general election. With incumbent Greg Casar pursuing another district, Democratic nominee Johnny Garcia and Republican nominee Carlos De La Cruz, both confirmed after May primary runoffs, now face off in a race where traders assign the Democratic Party a modest edge at 55.5 percent versus 43.5 percent for Republicans. This pricing reflects the district's urban and suburban demographics alongside the impact of redistricting on voter composition and turnout patterns. No major developments have emerged in recent weeks to alter positioning, leaving the outcome sensitive to broader midterm dynamics and voter mobilization efforts through election day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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