South Carolina’s strong Republican lean, demonstrated by consistent statewide victories and a 2024 presidential margin exceeding 17 points, underpins trader consensus favoring Darline Graham Nordone. Appointed to the Senate in July 2026 after Lindsey Graham’s death, she secured the Republican nomination in an August 25 special primary runoff against Rep. Ralph Norman, aided by President Trump’s endorsement and campaign resources. Democratic nominee Annie Andrews, a pediatrician who won her primary outright, faces structural headwinds in a state where no Democrat has won a Senate seat since 1998. With the November 3 general election approaching, recent polling averages show Graham ahead by roughly 8 points, aligning with the market’s implied probabilities and historical patterns for open or appointed Republican seats in the Palmetto State.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$174,644 Vol.
$174,644 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Darline Graham Nordone (R)
87%
Annie Andres (D)
14%
$174,644 Vol.
$174,644 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Darline Graham Nordone (R)
$68,372 Vol.
87%
Annie Andres (D)
$106,273 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.South Carolina’s strong Republican lean, demonstrated by consistent statewide victories and a 2024 presidential margin exceeding 17 points, underpins trader consensus favoring Darline Graham Nordone. Appointed to the Senate in July 2026 after Lindsey Graham’s death, she secured the Republican nomination in an August 25 special primary runoff against Rep. Ralph Norman, aided by President Trump’s endorsement and campaign resources. Democratic nominee Annie Andrews, a pediatrician who won her primary outright, faces structural headwinds in a state where no Democrat has won a Senate seat since 1998. With the November 3 general election approaching, recent polling averages show Graham ahead by roughly 8 points, aligning with the market’s implied probabilities and historical patterns for open or appointed Republican seats in the Palmetto State.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Volume
$174,644Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.South Carolina’s strong Republican lean, demonstrated by consistent statewide victories and a 2024 presidential margin exceeding 17 points, underpins trader consensus favoring Darline Graham Nordone. Appointed to the Senate in July 2026 after Lindsey Graham’s death, she secured the Republican nomination in an August 25 special primary runoff against Rep. Ralph Norman, aided by President Trump’s endorsement and campaign resources. Democratic nominee Annie Andrews, a pediatrician who won her primary outright, faces structural headwinds in a state where no Democrat has won a Senate seat since 1998. With the November 3 general election approaching, recent polling averages show Graham ahead by roughly 8 points, aligning with the market’s implied probabilities and historical patterns for open or appointed Republican seats in the Palmetto State.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$174,644Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina’s strong Republican lean, demonstrated by consistent statewide victories and a 2024 presidential margin exceeding 17 points, underpins trader consensus favoring Darline Graham Nordone. Appointed to the Senate in July 2026 after Lindsey Graham’s death, she secured the Republican nomination in an August 25 special primary runoff against Rep. Ralph Norman, aided by President Trump’s endorsement and campaign resources. Democratic nominee Annie Andrews, a pediatrician who won her primary outright, faces structural headwinds in a state where no Democrat has won a Senate seat since 1998. With the November 3 general election approaching, recent polling averages show Graham ahead by roughly 8 points, aligning with the market’s implied probabilities and historical patterns for open or appointed Republican seats in the Palmetto State.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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