Florida's Republican lean and Byron Donalds' consolidation of the GOP nomination after the August 18 primary underpin trader consensus favoring him over David Jolly. Donalds secured endorsements from President Trump early and Governor Ron DeSantis in September, alongside substantial fundraising that has exceeded $110 million. These factors align with the state's consistent Republican wins in gubernatorial contests since 1998 and its shift toward conservative governance under the term-limited DeSantis. A September Change Research poll showed Jolly ahead 47% to 44% among likely voters, narrowing the gap, yet prediction markets reflect the structural advantages for the Republican nominee heading into the November 3 election. Scheduled candidate events and debates in the coming weeks could test these dynamics.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni del Governatore della Florida
Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore della Florida
$60,241 Vol.
$60,241 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Byron Donalds (R)
82%
David Jolly (D)
19%
$60,241 Vol.
$60,241 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Byron Donalds (R)
$28,702 Vol.
82%
David Jolly (D)
$31,538 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's Republican lean and Byron Donalds' consolidation of the GOP nomination after the August 18 primary underpin trader consensus favoring him over David Jolly. Donalds secured endorsements from President Trump early and Governor Ron DeSantis in September, alongside substantial fundraising that has exceeded $110 million. These factors align with the state's consistent Republican wins in gubernatorial contests since 1998 and its shift toward conservative governance under the term-limited DeSantis. A September Change Research poll showed Jolly ahead 47% to 44% among likely voters, narrowing the gap, yet prediction markets reflect the structural advantages for the Republican nominee heading into the November 3 election. Scheduled candidate events and debates in the coming weeks could test these dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Volume
$60,241Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's Republican lean and Byron Donalds' consolidation of the GOP nomination after the August 18 primary underpin trader consensus favoring him over David Jolly. Donalds secured endorsements from President Trump early and Governor Ron DeSantis in September, alongside substantial fundraising that has exceeded $110 million. These factors align with the state's consistent Republican wins in gubernatorial contests since 1998 and its shift toward conservative governance under the term-limited DeSantis. A September Change Research poll showed Jolly ahead 47% to 44% among likely voters, narrowing the gap, yet prediction markets reflect the structural advantages for the Republican nominee heading into the November 3 election. Scheduled candidate events and debates in the coming weeks could test these dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$60,241Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's Republican lean and Byron Donalds' consolidation of the GOP nomination after the August 18 primary underpin trader consensus favoring him over David Jolly. Donalds secured endorsements from President Trump early and Governor Ron DeSantis in September, alongside substantial fundraising that has exceeded $110 million. These factors align with the state's consistent Republican wins in gubernatorial contests since 1998 and its shift toward conservative governance under the term-limited DeSantis. A September Change Research poll showed Jolly ahead 47% to 44% among likely voters, narrowing the gap, yet prediction markets reflect the structural advantages for the Republican nominee heading into the November 3 election. Scheduled candidate events and debates in the coming weeks could test these dynamics.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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