Kathy Castor’s long incumbency and name recognition continue to anchor Democratic advantages in Florida’s 14th Congressional District, where she faces Republican nominee Mike Beltran in the November 3 general election. Redistricting shifted the district eastward into more Republican-leaning territory, with Donald Trump carrying it by double digits in 2024, yet a July St. Pete Polls survey showed Castor leading Beltran 46-38 percent among likely voters. Beltran secured the GOP nomination on August 18 with 45.6 percent in a crowded primary, but mixed race ratings from Cook, Sabato, and others reflect uncertainty over whether the map’s partisan tilt or the incumbent’s established support will prevail. Trader consensus assigns Democrats a modest edge consistent with these polling and structural factors.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera FL-14
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera FL-14
$35,206 Vol.
$35,206 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratic Party
61%
Republican Party
36%
$35,206 Vol.
$35,206 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$18,316 Vol.
61%
Republican Party
$16,890 Vol.
36%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kathy Castor’s long incumbency and name recognition continue to anchor Democratic advantages in Florida’s 14th Congressional District, where she faces Republican nominee Mike Beltran in the November 3 general election. Redistricting shifted the district eastward into more Republican-leaning territory, with Donald Trump carrying it by double digits in 2024, yet a July St. Pete Polls survey showed Castor leading Beltran 46-38 percent among likely voters. Beltran secured the GOP nomination on August 18 with 45.6 percent in a crowded primary, but mixed race ratings from Cook, Sabato, and others reflect uncertainty over whether the map’s partisan tilt or the incumbent’s established support will prevail. Trader consensus assigns Democrats a modest edge consistent with these polling and structural factors.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
Volume
$35,206Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kathy Castor’s long incumbency and name recognition continue to anchor Democratic advantages in Florida’s 14th Congressional District, where she faces Republican nominee Mike Beltran in the November 3 general election. Redistricting shifted the district eastward into more Republican-leaning territory, with Donald Trump carrying it by double digits in 2024, yet a July St. Pete Polls survey showed Castor leading Beltran 46-38 percent among likely voters. Beltran secured the GOP nomination on August 18 with 45.6 percent in a crowded primary, but mixed race ratings from Cook, Sabato, and others reflect uncertainty over whether the map’s partisan tilt or the incumbent’s established support will prevail. Trader consensus assigns Democrats a modest edge consistent with these polling and structural factors.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$35,206Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Kathy Castor’s long incumbency and name recognition continue to anchor Democratic advantages in Florida’s 14th Congressional District, where she faces Republican nominee Mike Beltran in the November 3 general election. Redistricting shifted the district eastward into more Republican-leaning territory, with Donald Trump carrying it by double digits in 2024, yet a July St. Pete Polls survey showed Castor leading Beltran 46-38 percent among likely voters. Beltran secured the GOP nomination on August 18 with 45.6 percent in a crowded primary, but mixed race ratings from Cook, Sabato, and others reflect uncertainty over whether the map’s partisan tilt or the incumbent’s established support will prevail. Trader consensus assigns Democrats a modest edge consistent with these polling and structural factors.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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