Chung Tung-chin, the incumbent Miaoli County magistrate elected as an independent in 2022, holds an 88.5% implied probability in the market, driven by his strong recent polling performance and governance record ahead of Taiwan’s November 28, 2026 local elections. A June 2026 China Times survey awarded him the Silver Award among county magistrates outside major cities, citing satisfaction ratings above 80% across policy areas. The Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) formally nominated Chen Pin-an as its challenger in late November 2025, yet the market assigns Chen only a 5% share, consistent with the incumbent’s established position and limited reported shifts in voter sentiment. Multiple other listed candidates remain at 50% amid the early stage of candidate registration and coalition dynamics typical in county races. Traders appear to price in continuity based on Chung’s incumbency advantages and measurable public approval metrics rather than unconfirmed campaign developments.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni del magistrato della contea di Miaoli
Vincitore delle elezioni del magistrato della contea di Miaoli
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 giu 2027
Chung Tung-chin
89%
Chen Pin-an
5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 giu 2027
Chung Tung-chin
$643 Vol.
89%
Chen Pin-an
$804 Vol.
5%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Miaoli County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chung Tung-chin, the incumbent Miaoli County magistrate elected as an independent in 2022, holds an 88.5% implied probability in the market, driven by his strong recent polling performance and governance record ahead of Taiwan’s November 28, 2026 local elections. A June 2026 China Times survey awarded him the Silver Award among county magistrates outside major cities, citing satisfaction ratings above 80% across policy areas. The Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) formally nominated Chen Pin-an as its challenger in late November 2025, yet the market assigns Chen only a 5% share, consistent with the incumbent’s established position and limited reported shifts in voter sentiment. Multiple other listed candidates remain at 50% amid the early stage of candidate registration and coalition dynamics typical in county races. Traders appear to price in continuity based on Chung’s incumbency advantages and measurable public approval metrics rather than unconfirmed campaign developments.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Miaoli County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Miaoli County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Mercato aperto: Aug 14, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,447Data di fine
28 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Miaoli County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chung Tung-chin, the incumbent Miaoli County magistrate elected as an independent in 2022, holds an 88.5% implied probability in the market, driven by his strong recent polling performance and governance record ahead of Taiwan’s November 28, 2026 local elections. A June 2026 China Times survey awarded him the Silver Award among county magistrates outside major cities, citing satisfaction ratings above 80% across policy areas. The Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) formally nominated Chen Pin-an as its challenger in late November 2025, yet the market assigns Chen only a 5% share, consistent with the incumbent’s established position and limited reported shifts in voter sentiment. Multiple other listed candidates remain at 50% amid the early stage of candidate registration and coalition dynamics typical in county races. Traders appear to price in continuity based on Chung’s incumbency advantages and measurable public approval metrics rather than unconfirmed campaign developments.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Miaoli County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Miaoli County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$1,447Data di fine
28 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Chung Tung-chin, the incumbent Miaoli County magistrate elected as an independent in 2022, holds an 88.5% implied probability in the market, driven by his strong recent polling performance and governance record ahead of Taiwan’s November 28, 2026 local elections. A June 2026 China Times survey awarded him the Silver Award among county magistrates outside major cities, citing satisfaction ratings above 80% across policy areas. The Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) formally nominated Chen Pin-an as its challenger in late November 2025, yet the market assigns Chen only a 5% share, consistent with the incumbent’s established position and limited reported shifts in voter sentiment. Multiple other listed candidates remain at 50% amid the early stage of candidate registration and coalition dynamics typical in county races. Traders appear to price in continuity based on Chung’s incumbency advantages and measurable public approval metrics rather than unconfirmed campaign developments.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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