Chou Chun-mi, the Democratic Progressive Party incumbent magistrate of Pingtung County since her narrow 2022 victory over Kuomintang challenger Su Ching-chuan, holds the dominant market position ahead of the November 28, 2026 local elections. Incumbency advantages, including established administrative record, party organizational resources, and voter familiarity, underpin the wide implied probability gap. KMT actions in late 2025, including formal backing for Su’s rematch bid as part of broader southern Taiwan nominations, have not narrowed the spread. No major candidate filings, polling shifts, or disruptive events have altered the field in the past several months, leaving traders to price in structural continuity over potential late-cycle variables such as turnout patterns or coalition dynamics.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNUOVO
NUOVO
30 giu 2027
Chou Chun-mi
87%
Su Ching-chuan
13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 giu 2027
Chou Chun-mi
$1,507 Vol.
87%
Su Ching-chuan
$1,598 Vol.
13%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Pingtung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chou Chun-mi, the Democratic Progressive Party incumbent magistrate of Pingtung County since her narrow 2022 victory over Kuomintang challenger Su Ching-chuan, holds the dominant market position ahead of the November 28, 2026 local elections. Incumbency advantages, including established administrative record, party organizational resources, and voter familiarity, underpin the wide implied probability gap. KMT actions in late 2025, including formal backing for Su’s rematch bid as part of broader southern Taiwan nominations, have not narrowed the spread. No major candidate filings, polling shifts, or disruptive events have altered the field in the past several months, leaving traders to price in structural continuity over potential late-cycle variables such as turnout patterns or coalition dynamics.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Pingtung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Pingtung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Mercato aperto: Aug 14, 2026, 9:01 AM ET
Volume
$3,105Data di fine
28 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 9:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Pingtung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chou Chun-mi, the Democratic Progressive Party incumbent magistrate of Pingtung County since her narrow 2022 victory over Kuomintang challenger Su Ching-chuan, holds the dominant market position ahead of the November 28, 2026 local elections. Incumbency advantages, including established administrative record, party organizational resources, and voter familiarity, underpin the wide implied probability gap. KMT actions in late 2025, including formal backing for Su’s rematch bid as part of broader southern Taiwan nominations, have not narrowed the spread. No major candidate filings, polling shifts, or disruptive events have altered the field in the past several months, leaving traders to price in structural continuity over potential late-cycle variables such as turnout patterns or coalition dynamics.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Pingtung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Pingtung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$3,105Data di fine
28 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 9:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Chou Chun-mi, the Democratic Progressive Party incumbent magistrate of Pingtung County since her narrow 2022 victory over Kuomintang challenger Su Ching-chuan, holds the dominant market position ahead of the November 28, 2026 local elections. Incumbency advantages, including established administrative record, party organizational resources, and voter familiarity, underpin the wide implied probability gap. KMT actions in late 2025, including formal backing for Su’s rematch bid as part of broader southern Taiwan nominations, have not narrowed the spread. No major candidate filings, polling shifts, or disruptive events have altered the field in the past several months, leaving traders to price in structural continuity over potential late-cycle variables such as turnout patterns or coalition dynamics.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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