Democratic incumbent Katie Hobbs maintains a consistent polling edge over Republican nominee Andy Biggs in the November 3, 2026, Arizona gubernatorial contest. Recent surveys, including an AARP poll from late July, show Hobbs ahead by 8 points, with other late-summer averages indicating a 5- to 6-point margin. Hobbs secured her party’s nomination without opposition in the July 21 primary, while Biggs won the Republican primary decisively. Her selection of former Republican mayor John Giles as running mate has reinforced a bipartisan appeal in a state where swing voters remain decisive. These factors have shaped trader consensus around the incumbent’s strong position ahead of the general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni del Governatore dell'Arizona
$66,709 Vol.
$66,709 Vol.

Democratico
88%

Repubblicano
12%
$66,709 Vol.
$66,709 Vol.

Democratico
88%

Repubblicano
12%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Katie Hobbs maintains a consistent polling edge over Republican nominee Andy Biggs in the November 3, 2026, Arizona gubernatorial contest. Recent surveys, including an AARP poll from late July, show Hobbs ahead by 8 points, with other late-summer averages indicating a 5- to 6-point margin. Hobbs secured her party’s nomination without opposition in the July 21 primary, while Biggs won the Republican primary decisively. Her selection of former Republican mayor John Giles as running mate has reinforced a bipartisan appeal in a state where swing voters remain decisive. These factors have shaped trader consensus around the incumbent’s strong position ahead of the general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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