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Politica·Primarie

MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Politica·Primarie

MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner

Dan Koh 82%

Tram Nguyen 4.5%

Dominick Pangallo 4.3%

John Beccia 2.6%

Polymarket

$33,136 Vol.

Dan Koh 82%

Tram Nguyen 4.5%

Dominick Pangallo 4.3%

John Beccia 2.6%

Polymarket

$33,136 Vol.

Dan Koh

$3,880 Vol.

82%

Tram Nguyen

$4,018 Vol.

5%

Dominick Pangallo

$5,769 Vol.

4%

John Beccia

$1,530 Vol.

3%

Diann Slavit Baylis

$4,833 Vol.

2%

Mariah Lancaster

$1,745 Vol.

2%

Rick Jakious

$3,124 Vol.

2%

Seth Moulton

$1,586 Vol.

2%

Jamie Zahlaway Belsito

$1,987 Vol.

1%

Kevin Larivee

$1,308 Vol.

1%

Rachel Creemers

$1,931 Vol.

1%

Beth Andres-Beck

$1,425 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus heavily favors Dan Koh at 81.5% implied probability to win the September 1 Democratic primary for Massachusetts' 6th Congressional District open seat, vacated by Rep. Seth Moulton for his U.S. Senate bid, driven by Koh's record-breaking $2 million early fundraising haul—more than any prior Massachusetts House candidate—and high-profile endorsements from Kamala Harris, Pete Buttigieg, IBEW Local 2222, and local leaders like Peabody City Council. As the first candidate to qualify for the ballot on March 27 by gathering over 2,000 signatures across all 39 district municipalities, Koh maintains momentum amid a crowded field of 10 Democrats. Recent April 1 fundraising reports underscore his financial edge over challengers like state Rep. Tram Nguyen (4.5%), while forums highlight debates on health care, immigration, and affordability; no public polls have emerged to challenge this positioning.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$33,136
Data di fine
15 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 25, 2025, 3:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus heavily favors Dan Koh at 81.5% implied probability to win the September 1 Democratic primary for Massachusetts' 6th Congressional District open seat, vacated by Rep. Seth Moulton for his U.S. Senate bid, driven by Koh's record-breaking $2 million early fundraising haul—more than any prior Massachusetts House candidate—and high-profile endorsements from Kamala Harris, Pete Buttigieg, IBEW Local 2222, and local leaders like Peabody City Council. As the first candidate to qualify for the ballot on March 27 by gathering over 2,000 signatures across all 39 district municipalities, Koh maintains momentum amid a crowded field of 10 Democrats. Recent April 1 fundraising reports underscore his financial edge over challengers like state Rep. Tram Nguyen (4.5%), while forums highlight debates on health care, immigration, and affordability; no public polls have emerged to challenge this positioning.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$33,136
Data di fine
15 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 25, 2025, 3:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 12 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Dan Koh" a 82%, seguito da "Tram Nguyen" a 5%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 82¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 82% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner" ha generato $33.1K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Nov 25, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner", esplora i 12 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner" è "Dan Koh" a 82%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 82% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Tram Nguyen" a 5%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.