Skip to main content
icon for MA-06 Vincitore delle primarie democratiche
Politica·Primarie

MA-06 Vincitore delle primarie democratiche

icon for MA-06 Vincitore delle primarie democratiche
Politica·Primarie

MA-06 Vincitore delle primarie democratiche

Dan Koh 89%

Tram Nguyen 11.3%

John Beccia <1%

Seth Moulton <1%

Polymarket

$188,948 Vol.

Dan Koh 89%

Tram Nguyen 11.3%

John Beccia <1%

Seth Moulton <1%

Polymarket

$188,948 Vol.

icon for Dan Koh

Dan Koh

$108,752 Vol.

89%

icon for Tram Nguyen

Tram Nguyen

$27,629 Vol.

11%

icon for John Beccia

John Beccia

$10,478 Vol.

<1%

icon for Seth Moulton

Seth Moulton

$4,873 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mariah Lancaster

Mariah Lancaster

$4,362 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jamie Zahlaway Belsito

Jamie Zahlaway Belsito

$3,970 Vol.

<1%

icon for Kevin Larivee

Kevin Larivee

$2,864 Vol.

<1%

icon for Dominick Pangallo

Dominick Pangallo

$8,344 Vol.

<1%

icon for Beth Andres-Beck

Beth Andres-Beck

$3,806 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rick Jakious

Rick Jakious

$4,380 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rachel Creemers

Rachel Creemers

$3,425 Vol.

<1%

icon for Diann Slavit Baylis

Diann Slavit Baylis

$6,065 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Dan Koh holds an 89% implied probability in the MA-06 Democratic primary due to his commanding fundraising edge—over $4.7 million raised with millions in cash on hand—combined with endorsements from former President Biden, Vice President Harris, labor unions, and numerous local officials. As a former White House aide and Andover native with prior congressional campaign experience, Koh has dominated advertising and built broad institutional support ahead of the September 1 vote to replace Seth Moulton. State Representative Tram Nguyen sits at 11% after securing late endorsements from Representatives Ayanna Pressley and Lori Trahan plus a dropout endorsement from Mariah Lancaster, positioning her as the main progressive alternative with strong local legislative experience and grassroots appeal. The remaining candidates trail at negligible levels amid the six-way field.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$188,948
Data di fine
1 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 25, 2025, 3:39 PM ET

Risolutore

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Dan Koh holds an 89% implied probability in the MA-06 Democratic primary due to his commanding fundraising edge—over $4.7 million raised with millions in cash on hand—combined with endorsements from former President Biden, Vice President Harris, labor unions, and numerous local officials. As a former White House aide and Andover native with prior congressional campaign experience, Koh has dominated advertising and built broad institutional support ahead of the September 1 vote to replace Seth Moulton. State Representative Tram Nguyen sits at 11% after securing late endorsements from Representatives Ayanna Pressley and Lori Trahan plus a dropout endorsement from Mariah Lancaster, positioning her as the main progressive alternative with strong local legislative experience and grassroots appeal. The remaining candidates trail at negligible levels amid the six-way field.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$188,948
Data di fine
1 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 25, 2025, 3:39 PM ET

Risolutore

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Correlati

icon for Will Katherine Clark be the MA-05 Democratic nominee?

Will Katherine Clark be the MA-05 Democratic nominee?

99%
icon for Richard Neal sarà il candidato democratico per il MA-01?

Richard Neal sarà il candidato democratico per il MA-01?

92%
Sì
icon for Will Jake Auchincloss be the MA-04 Democratic nominee?

Will Jake Auchincloss be the MA-04 Democratic nominee?

98%

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"MA-06 Vincitore delle primarie democratiche" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 12 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Dan Koh" a 89%, seguito da "Tram Nguyen" a 11%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 89¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 89% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "MA-06 Vincitore delle primarie democratiche" ha generato $188.9K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Nov 25, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "MA-06 Vincitore delle primarie democratiche", esplora i 12 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "MA-06 Vincitore delle primarie democratiche" è "Dan Koh" a 89%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 89% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Tram Nguyen" a 11%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "MA-06 Vincitore delle primarie democratiche" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.