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Politica·Elezioni Negli Stati Uniti

MA-08 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for MA-08 Democratic Primary Winner
Politica·Elezioni Negli Stati Uniti

MA-08 Democratic Primary Winner

Stephen Lynch 82%

Patrick Roath 19%

Andrew Zylberfink <1%

Polymarket

$99,692 Vol.

Stephen Lynch 82%

Patrick Roath 19%

Andrew Zylberfink <1%

Polymarket

$99,692 Vol.

icon for Stephen Lynch

Stephen Lynch

$53,680 Vol.

82%

icon for Patrick Roath

Patrick Roath

$42,509 Vol.

19%

icon for Andrew Zylberfink

Andrew Zylberfink

$3,503 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Stephen Lynch holds a strong position as the long-serving incumbent in Massachusetts's 8th congressional district, drawing on two decades of name recognition, institutional backing from building trades unions, and established support across South Shore and Boston Democratic committees. Patrick Roath has narrowed the race through higher individual fundraising totals exceeding $1.2 million, endorsements from the Boston Teachers Union and former Governor Deval Patrick, and targeted mailers from progressive groups emphasizing generational change. Recent August polling from Roath-aligned sources showed Lynch's lead shrinking to single digits, though traders continue to weight historical patterns of incumbent resilience in Massachusetts House primaries more heavily. Andrew Zylberfink has withdrawn and holds negligible support. The September 1 primary remains the decisive near-term factor.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$99,692
Data di fine
1 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Mar 3, 2026, 6:22 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Stephen Lynch holds a strong position as the long-serving incumbent in Massachusetts's 8th congressional district, drawing on two decades of name recognition, institutional backing from building trades unions, and established support across South Shore and Boston Democratic committees. Patrick Roath has narrowed the race through higher individual fundraising totals exceeding $1.2 million, endorsements from the Boston Teachers Union and former Governor Deval Patrick, and targeted mailers from progressive groups emphasizing generational change. Recent August polling from Roath-aligned sources showed Lynch's lead shrinking to single digits, though traders continue to weight historical patterns of incumbent resilience in Massachusetts House primaries more heavily. Andrew Zylberfink has withdrawn and holds negligible support. The September 1 primary remains the decisive near-term factor.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$99,692
Data di fine
1 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Mar 3, 2026, 6:22 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Correlati

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Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"MA-08 Democratic Primary Winner" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 3 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Stephen Lynch" a 82%, seguito da "Patrick Roath" a 19%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 82¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 82% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "MA-08 Democratic Primary Winner" ha generato $99.7K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Mar 3, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "MA-08 Democratic Primary Winner", esplora i 3 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "MA-08 Democratic Primary Winner" è "Stephen Lynch" a 82%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 82% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Patrick Roath" a 19%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "MA-08 Democratic Primary Winner" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.