Incumbent Republican Charles Fleischmann holds a commanding position in Tennessee's 3rd congressional district, where the R+18 Partisan Voter Index and unanimous "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball reflect the district's consistent Republican performance in recent presidential cycles. The August 2026 primaries confirmed Fleischmann's nomination and Democrat Anna Golladay's, following mid-decade redistricting that further strengthened GOP margins across Tennessee's map. Trader consensus at 94.5% Republican reflects these structural advantages and the absence of competitive polling or major recent developments that would alter the outlook. Late-breaking national shifts, candidate health events, or unforeseen scandals remain the primary scenarios that could narrow the implied probability before the November 3 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera TN-03
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera TN-03
$38,073 Vol.
$38,073 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
95%
Partito Democratico
6%
$38,073 Vol.
$38,073 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
$20,731 Vol.
95%
Partito Democratico
$17,342 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Charles Fleischmann holds a commanding position in Tennessee's 3rd congressional district, where the R+18 Partisan Voter Index and unanimous "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball reflect the district's consistent Republican performance in recent presidential cycles. The August 2026 primaries confirmed Fleischmann's nomination and Democrat Anna Golladay's, following mid-decade redistricting that further strengthened GOP margins across Tennessee's map. Trader consensus at 94.5% Republican reflects these structural advantages and the absence of competitive polling or major recent developments that would alter the outlook. Late-breaking national shifts, candidate health events, or unforeseen scandals remain the primary scenarios that could narrow the implied probability before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$38,073Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Charles Fleischmann holds a commanding position in Tennessee's 3rd congressional district, where the R+18 Partisan Voter Index and unanimous "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball reflect the district's consistent Republican performance in recent presidential cycles. The August 2026 primaries confirmed Fleischmann's nomination and Democrat Anna Golladay's, following mid-decade redistricting that further strengthened GOP margins across Tennessee's map. Trader consensus at 94.5% Republican reflects these structural advantages and the absence of competitive polling or major recent developments that would alter the outlook. Late-breaking national shifts, candidate health events, or unforeseen scandals remain the primary scenarios that could narrow the implied probability before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$38,073Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Charles Fleischmann holds a commanding position in Tennessee's 3rd congressional district, where the R+18 Partisan Voter Index and unanimous "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball reflect the district's consistent Republican performance in recent presidential cycles. The August 2026 primaries confirmed Fleischmann's nomination and Democrat Anna Golladay's, following mid-decade redistricting that further strengthened GOP margins across Tennessee's map. Trader consensus at 94.5% Republican reflects these structural advantages and the absence of competitive polling or major recent developments that would alter the outlook. Late-breaking national shifts, candidate health events, or unforeseen scandals remain the primary scenarios that could narrow the implied probability before the November 3 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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