The solidly Republican character of Tennessee's 6th congressional district, which features a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+13 and was carried by Republican presidential candidates by wide margins in recent cycles, underpins the current trader consensus favoring a Republican victory in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent John Rose is retiring to seek the governorship, leaving an open seat with a Republican primary featuring multiple declared candidates including state Representative Johnny Garrett and former U.S. Representative Van Hilleary, while Democratic contenders remain limited to a crowded August primary field. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments such as national political shifts, unusually high Democratic turnout, or an unexpectedly divisive Republican nominee could narrow the margin, though structural factors and historical patterns limit realistic paths to an upset.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoTN-06 House Election Winner
TN-06 House Election Winner
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
$4,992 Vol.
93%
Democratic Party
$1,097 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Republican character of Tennessee's 6th congressional district, which features a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+13 and was carried by Republican presidential candidates by wide margins in recent cycles, underpins the current trader consensus favoring a Republican victory in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent John Rose is retiring to seek the governorship, leaving an open seat with a Republican primary featuring multiple declared candidates including state Representative Johnny Garrett and former U.S. Representative Van Hilleary, while Democratic contenders remain limited to a crowded August primary field. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments such as national political shifts, unusually high Democratic turnout, or an unexpectedly divisive Republican nominee could narrow the margin, though structural factors and historical patterns limit realistic paths to an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$6,089Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Republican character of Tennessee's 6th congressional district, which features a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+13 and was carried by Republican presidential candidates by wide margins in recent cycles, underpins the current trader consensus favoring a Republican victory in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent John Rose is retiring to seek the governorship, leaving an open seat with a Republican primary featuring multiple declared candidates including state Representative Johnny Garrett and former U.S. Representative Van Hilleary, while Democratic contenders remain limited to a crowded August primary field. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments such as national political shifts, unusually high Democratic turnout, or an unexpectedly divisive Republican nominee could narrow the margin, though structural factors and historical patterns limit realistic paths to an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$6,089Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The solidly Republican character of Tennessee's 6th congressional district, which features a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+13 and was carried by Republican presidential candidates by wide margins in recent cycles, underpins the current trader consensus favoring a Republican victory in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent John Rose is retiring to seek the governorship, leaving an open seat with a Republican primary featuring multiple declared candidates including state Representative Johnny Garrett and former U.S. Representative Van Hilleary, while Democratic contenders remain limited to a crowded August primary field. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments such as national political shifts, unusually high Democratic turnout, or an unexpectedly divisive Republican nominee could narrow the margin, though structural factors and historical patterns limit realistic paths to an upset.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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