Republican control of Tennessee's 5th congressional district remains the market favorite due to its R+10 partisan voting index and the redrawn map that boosted the GOP margin to an estimated Trump +23 performance in 2024. Incumbent Andy Ogles faces a primary challenge from Charlie Hatcher on August 6, while multiple Democrats compete in their own primary; the district's structural lean and historical Republican performance in similar seats underpin the 82.5% implied probability. Recent fundraising and polling in the Republican primary show a competitive intra-party contest, but forecasters rate the general election Likely Republican. The 18.5% Democratic share reflects limited path-to-victory scenarios tied to primary outcomes and turnout in a low-turnout off-year cycle.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera TN-05
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera TN-05
$40,526 Vol.
$40,526 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
83%
Partito Democratico
19%
$40,526 Vol.
$40,526 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
$18,682 Vol.
83%
Partito Democratico
$21,844 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican control of Tennessee's 5th congressional district remains the market favorite due to its R+10 partisan voting index and the redrawn map that boosted the GOP margin to an estimated Trump +23 performance in 2024. Incumbent Andy Ogles faces a primary challenge from Charlie Hatcher on August 6, while multiple Democrats compete in their own primary; the district's structural lean and historical Republican performance in similar seats underpin the 82.5% implied probability. Recent fundraising and polling in the Republican primary show a competitive intra-party contest, but forecasters rate the general election Likely Republican. The 18.5% Democratic share reflects limited path-to-victory scenarios tied to primary outcomes and turnout in a low-turnout off-year cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$40,526Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican control of Tennessee's 5th congressional district remains the market favorite due to its R+10 partisan voting index and the redrawn map that boosted the GOP margin to an estimated Trump +23 performance in 2024. Incumbent Andy Ogles faces a primary challenge from Charlie Hatcher on August 6, while multiple Democrats compete in their own primary; the district's structural lean and historical Republican performance in similar seats underpin the 82.5% implied probability. Recent fundraising and polling in the Republican primary show a competitive intra-party contest, but forecasters rate the general election Likely Republican. The 18.5% Democratic share reflects limited path-to-victory scenarios tied to primary outcomes and turnout in a low-turnout off-year cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$40,526Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican control of Tennessee's 5th congressional district remains the market favorite due to its R+10 partisan voting index and the redrawn map that boosted the GOP margin to an estimated Trump +23 performance in 2024. Incumbent Andy Ogles faces a primary challenge from Charlie Hatcher on August 6, while multiple Democrats compete in their own primary; the district's structural lean and historical Republican performance in similar seats underpin the 82.5% implied probability. Recent fundraising and polling in the Republican primary show a competitive intra-party contest, but forecasters rate the general election Likely Republican. The 18.5% Democratic share reflects limited path-to-victory scenarios tied to primary outcomes and turnout in a low-turnout off-year cycle.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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