Incumbent Republican Lance Gooden, who secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the March 3 primary with 100% of the vote, anchors trader consensus at 89.5% for a Republican hold in the solidly Republican TX-05 district (Cook PVI R+10). Recent redistricting added East Dallas and Anderson County but preserved the reliably conservative baseline, where Donald Trump won 58.6% in 2024 versus Kamala Harris's 39.6%. Democrats' May 26 primary runoff between low-fundraising candidates Chelsey Hockett and Ruth Torres (each under $11,000 raised) signals a weak general election challenge ahead of November 3. Historical GOP margins near 64% underscore low upset risk, though national midterm dynamics could influence turnout.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoTX-05 Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera
TX-05 Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera
$13,446 Vol.
$13,446 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
90%
Democratic Party
9%
$13,446 Vol.
$13,446 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
$8,550 Vol.
90%
Democratic Party
$4,896 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Lance Gooden, who secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the March 3 primary with 100% of the vote, anchors trader consensus at 89.5% for a Republican hold in the solidly Republican TX-05 district (Cook PVI R+10). Recent redistricting added East Dallas and Anderson County but preserved the reliably conservative baseline, where Donald Trump won 58.6% in 2024 versus Kamala Harris's 39.6%. Democrats' May 26 primary runoff between low-fundraising candidates Chelsey Hockett and Ruth Torres (each under $11,000 raised) signals a weak general election challenge ahead of November 3. Historical GOP margins near 64% underscore low upset risk, though national midterm dynamics could influence turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$13,446Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Lance Gooden, who secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the March 3 primary with 100% of the vote, anchors trader consensus at 89.5% for a Republican hold in the solidly Republican TX-05 district (Cook PVI R+10). Recent redistricting added East Dallas and Anderson County but preserved the reliably conservative baseline, where Donald Trump won 58.6% in 2024 versus Kamala Harris's 39.6%. Democrats' May 26 primary runoff between low-fundraising candidates Chelsey Hockett and Ruth Torres (each under $11,000 raised) signals a weak general election challenge ahead of November 3. Historical GOP margins near 64% underscore low upset risk, though national midterm dynamics could influence turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$13,446Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Lance Gooden, who secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the March 3 primary with 100% of the vote, anchors trader consensus at 89.5% for a Republican hold in the solidly Republican TX-05 district (Cook PVI R+10). Recent redistricting added East Dallas and Anderson County but preserved the reliably conservative baseline, where Donald Trump won 58.6% in 2024 versus Kamala Harris's 39.6%. Democrats' May 26 primary runoff between low-fundraising candidates Chelsey Hockett and Ruth Torres (each under $11,000 raised) signals a weak general election challenge ahead of November 3. Historical GOP margins near 64% underscore low upset risk, though national midterm dynamics could influence turnout.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti