Morgan McGarvey holds a commanding position in the Kentucky 3rd congressional district race due to the seat’s consistent Democratic lean, including a Cook Partisan Voting Index rating around D+10, strong Democratic voter registration in the Louisville metro area, and his status as the sole Democratic House member in the state. McGarvey advanced unopposed in the Democratic primary, while Maria Teresa Rodriguez secured the Republican nomination in May 2026 with under 50% of the primary vote against a fragmented field and has raised limited funds compared with the incumbent’s substantial war chest. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure or national support. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district’s partisan baseline and historical results, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually high Republican turnout could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoKY-03 Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali
KY-03 Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali
$40,774 Vol.
$40,774 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Morgan McGarvey (D)
96%
Maria Rodriguez (R)
5%
$40,774 Vol.
$40,774 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Morgan McGarvey (D)
$17,773 Vol.
96%
Maria Rodriguez (R)
$23,000 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Morgan McGarvey holds a commanding position in the Kentucky 3rd congressional district race due to the seat’s consistent Democratic lean, including a Cook Partisan Voting Index rating around D+10, strong Democratic voter registration in the Louisville metro area, and his status as the sole Democratic House member in the state. McGarvey advanced unopposed in the Democratic primary, while Maria Teresa Rodriguez secured the Republican nomination in May 2026 with under 50% of the primary vote against a fragmented field and has raised limited funds compared with the incumbent’s substantial war chest. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure or national support. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district’s partisan baseline and historical results, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually high Republican turnout could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$40,774Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Morgan McGarvey holds a commanding position in the Kentucky 3rd congressional district race due to the seat’s consistent Democratic lean, including a Cook Partisan Voting Index rating around D+10, strong Democratic voter registration in the Louisville metro area, and his status as the sole Democratic House member in the state. McGarvey advanced unopposed in the Democratic primary, while Maria Teresa Rodriguez secured the Republican nomination in May 2026 with under 50% of the primary vote against a fragmented field and has raised limited funds compared with the incumbent’s substantial war chest. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure or national support. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district’s partisan baseline and historical results, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually high Republican turnout could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$40,774Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Morgan McGarvey holds a commanding position in the Kentucky 3rd congressional district race due to the seat’s consistent Democratic lean, including a Cook Partisan Voting Index rating around D+10, strong Democratic voter registration in the Louisville metro area, and his status as the sole Democratic House member in the state. McGarvey advanced unopposed in the Democratic primary, while Maria Teresa Rodriguez secured the Republican nomination in May 2026 with under 50% of the primary vote against a fragmented field and has raised limited funds compared with the incumbent’s substantial war chest. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure or national support. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district’s partisan baseline and historical results, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually high Republican turnout could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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