Kentucky's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+20 partisan voter index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Brett Guthrie secured renomination with over 85 percent in the May 2026 primary against limited opposition, while Democratic nominee Megan Wingfield emerged from a fragmented field after the same primary date. Forecasters across outlets rate the general election as solid or safe Republican, citing limited Democratic infrastructure and the district's voting patterns in western and central Kentucky counties. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for Republicans aligns with these structural factors, though an unforeseen national swing, candidate withdrawal, or late scandal could still alter the outcome before November.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoKY-02 House Election Winner
KY-02 House Election Winner
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
$2,217 Vol.
94%
Democratic Party
$3,681 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kentucky's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+20 partisan voter index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Brett Guthrie secured renomination with over 85 percent in the May 2026 primary against limited opposition, while Democratic nominee Megan Wingfield emerged from a fragmented field after the same primary date. Forecasters across outlets rate the general election as solid or safe Republican, citing limited Democratic infrastructure and the district's voting patterns in western and central Kentucky counties. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for Republicans aligns with these structural factors, though an unforeseen national swing, candidate withdrawal, or late scandal could still alter the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$5,898Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kentucky's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+20 partisan voter index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Brett Guthrie secured renomination with over 85 percent in the May 2026 primary against limited opposition, while Democratic nominee Megan Wingfield emerged from a fragmented field after the same primary date. Forecasters across outlets rate the general election as solid or safe Republican, citing limited Democratic infrastructure and the district's voting patterns in western and central Kentucky counties. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for Republicans aligns with these structural factors, though an unforeseen national swing, candidate withdrawal, or late scandal could still alter the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$5,898Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kentucky's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+20 partisan voter index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Brett Guthrie secured renomination with over 85 percent in the May 2026 primary against limited opposition, while Democratic nominee Megan Wingfield emerged from a fragmented field after the same primary date. Forecasters across outlets rate the general election as solid or safe Republican, citing limited Democratic infrastructure and the district's voting patterns in western and central Kentucky counties. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for Republicans aligns with these structural factors, though an unforeseen national swing, candidate withdrawal, or late scandal could still alter the outcome before November.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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