Trader consensus heavily favors the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) at 88.5% implied probability to win the most seats in the Riksdag on September 13, 2026, driven by consistent polling averages showing S at 32-33% support—roughly double the Sweden Democrats (SD) at 19-21% and Moderates (M) at 17-18%—in Sweden's proportional representation system. Recent surveys, including Verian/SVT (March 23-April 5, S 32.7%) and Kantar-Sifo (April 11, S 32.7%), reinforce this lead, with the Red-Green bloc outpacing the Tidö coalition parties amid no major shifts in the past 30 days. While coalition negotiations could complicate government formation post-election, S's commanding plurality positions it as the clear frontrunner for plurality of seats.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni parlamentari svedesi
Vincitore delle elezioni parlamentari svedesi
Partito Socialdemocratico Svedese (S) 89%
Partito Moderato (M) 5.5%
Democratici Svedesi (SD) 5.0%
Partito Verde (MP) <1%
$1,083,574 Vol.
$1,083,574 Vol.
13 set 2026
Partito Socialdemocratico Svedese (S)
89%
Partito Moderato (M)
6%
Democratici Svedesi (SD)
5%
Partito Verde (MP)
1%
Partito di Centro (C)
<1%
Partito della Sinistra (V)
<1%
Coalizione dei Cittadini (MED)
<1%
Democratici Cristiani (KD)
<1%
Liberali (L)
<1%
Partito Socialdemocratico Svedese (S) 89%
Partito Moderato (M) 5.5%
Democratici Svedesi (SD) 5.0%
Partito Verde (MP) <1%
$1,083,574 Vol.
$1,083,574 Vol.
13 set 2026
Partito Socialdemocratico Svedese (S)
$31,531 Vol.
89%
Partito Moderato (M)
$377,117 Vol.
6%
Democratici Svedesi (SD)
$509,179 Vol.
5%
Partito Verde (MP)
$93,059 Vol.
1%
Partito di Centro (C)
$16,287 Vol.
<1%
Partito della Sinistra (V)
$14,584 Vol.
<1%
Coalizione dei Cittadini (MED)
$13,288 Vol.
<1%
Democratici Cristiani (KD)
$14,199 Vol.
<1%
Liberali (L)
$14,329 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) at 88.5% implied probability to win the most seats in the Riksdag on September 13, 2026, driven by consistent polling averages showing S at 32-33% support—roughly double the Sweden Democrats (SD) at 19-21% and Moderates (M) at 17-18%—in Sweden's proportional representation system. Recent surveys, including Verian/SVT (March 23-April 5, S 32.7%) and Kantar-Sifo (April 11, S 32.7%), reinforce this lead, with the Red-Green bloc outpacing the Tidö coalition parties amid no major shifts in the past 30 days. While coalition negotiations could complicate government formation post-election, S's commanding plurality positions it as the clear frontrunner for plurality of seats.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Mercato aperto: Dec 4, 2025, 11:45 AM ET
Volume
$1,083,574Data di fine
13 set 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 4, 2025, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) at 88.5% implied probability to win the most seats in the Riksdag on September 13, 2026, driven by consistent polling averages showing S at 32-33% support—roughly double the Sweden Democrats (SD) at 19-21% and Moderates (M) at 17-18%—in Sweden's proportional representation system. Recent surveys, including Verian/SVT (March 23-April 5, S 32.7%) and Kantar-Sifo (April 11, S 32.7%), reinforce this lead, with the Red-Green bloc outpacing the Tidö coalition parties amid no major shifts in the past 30 days. While coalition negotiations could complicate government formation post-election, S's commanding plurality positions it as the clear frontrunner for plurality of seats.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$1,083,574Data di fine
13 set 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 4, 2025, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) at 88.5% implied probability to win the most seats in the Riksdag on September 13, 2026, driven by consistent polling averages showing S at 32-33% support—roughly double the Sweden Democrats (SD) at 19-21% and Moderates (M) at 17-18%—in Sweden's proportional representation system. Recent surveys, including Verian/SVT (March 23-April 5, S 32.7%) and Kantar-Sifo (April 11, S 32.7%), reinforce this lead, with the Red-Green bloc outpacing the Tidö coalition parties amid no major shifts in the past 30 days. While coalition negotiations could complicate government formation post-election, S's commanding plurality positions it as the clear frontrunner for plurality of seats.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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