Mark Tedford secured the Republican nomination for Oklahoma’s 1st Congressional District after topping a crowded June 2026 primary and prevailing in the August runoff, positioning him as the clear favorite in the solidly Republican Tulsa-area seat vacated by Kevin Hern. His advantages include substantial fundraising, endorsements from state Republican leaders and President Trump, and a background as a state representative and businessman emphasizing energy policy, immigration enforcement, and fiscal restraint. Democrat John Croisant advanced unopposed in his primary but faces structural headwinds in a district that delivered large Republican margins in recent cycles. Traders assign Tedford a 92.5% implied probability because the seat’s partisan composition and nominee dynamics leave little room for an upset absent major late developments such as a significant scandal or health event affecting the frontrunner.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera OK-01
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera OK-01
$34,854 Vol.
$34,854 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Mark Tedford (R)
93%
John Croisant (D)
8%
$34,854 Vol.
$34,854 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Mark Tedford (R)
$19,850 Vol.
93%
John Croisant (D)
$15,004 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mark Tedford secured the Republican nomination for Oklahoma’s 1st Congressional District after topping a crowded June 2026 primary and prevailing in the August runoff, positioning him as the clear favorite in the solidly Republican Tulsa-area seat vacated by Kevin Hern. His advantages include substantial fundraising, endorsements from state Republican leaders and President Trump, and a background as a state representative and businessman emphasizing energy policy, immigration enforcement, and fiscal restraint. Democrat John Croisant advanced unopposed in his primary but faces structural headwinds in a district that delivered large Republican margins in recent cycles. Traders assign Tedford a 92.5% implied probability because the seat’s partisan composition and nominee dynamics leave little room for an upset absent major late developments such as a significant scandal or health event affecting the frontrunner.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$34,854Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mark Tedford secured the Republican nomination for Oklahoma’s 1st Congressional District after topping a crowded June 2026 primary and prevailing in the August runoff, positioning him as the clear favorite in the solidly Republican Tulsa-area seat vacated by Kevin Hern. His advantages include substantial fundraising, endorsements from state Republican leaders and President Trump, and a background as a state representative and businessman emphasizing energy policy, immigration enforcement, and fiscal restraint. Democrat John Croisant advanced unopposed in his primary but faces structural headwinds in a district that delivered large Republican margins in recent cycles. Traders assign Tedford a 92.5% implied probability because the seat’s partisan composition and nominee dynamics leave little room for an upset absent major late developments such as a significant scandal or health event affecting the frontrunner.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$34,854Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Mark Tedford secured the Republican nomination for Oklahoma’s 1st Congressional District after topping a crowded June 2026 primary and prevailing in the August runoff, positioning him as the clear favorite in the solidly Republican Tulsa-area seat vacated by Kevin Hern. His advantages include substantial fundraising, endorsements from state Republican leaders and President Trump, and a background as a state representative and businessman emphasizing energy policy, immigration enforcement, and fiscal restraint. Democrat John Croisant advanced unopposed in his primary but faces structural headwinds in a district that delivered large Republican margins in recent cycles. Traders assign Tedford a 92.5% implied probability because the seat’s partisan composition and nominee dynamics leave little room for an upset absent major late developments such as a significant scandal or health event affecting the frontrunner.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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