Michigan's 7th congressional district remains a toss-up heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, with traders assigning the Democratic nominee a modest edge. Republican incumbent Tom Barrett, a first-term representative who flipped the seat in 2024 following Elissa Slotkin's Senate bid, faces William Lawrence, the progressive activist who secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the contest as a toss-up, while Decision Desk HQ notes a lean Democratic. Limited general-election polling, including a June survey showing Lawrence narrowly ahead, combined with the district's university population, labor presence, and midterm dynamics, supports the current implied probability favoring Democrats. Upcoming campaign events and any late-cycle shifts in national conditions could still alter positioning.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMI-07 House Election Winner
MI-07 House Election Winner
$17,754 Vol.
$17,754 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
61%
Republican Party
38%
$17,754 Vol.
$17,754 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$11,956 Vol.
61%
Republican Party
$5,799 Vol.
38%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 7th congressional district remains a toss-up heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, with traders assigning the Democratic nominee a modest edge. Republican incumbent Tom Barrett, a first-term representative who flipped the seat in 2024 following Elissa Slotkin's Senate bid, faces William Lawrence, the progressive activist who secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the contest as a toss-up, while Decision Desk HQ notes a lean Democratic. Limited general-election polling, including a June survey showing Lawrence narrowly ahead, combined with the district's university population, labor presence, and midterm dynamics, supports the current implied probability favoring Democrats. Upcoming campaign events and any late-cycle shifts in national conditions could still alter positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ET
Volume
$17,754Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 7th congressional district remains a toss-up heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, with traders assigning the Democratic nominee a modest edge. Republican incumbent Tom Barrett, a first-term representative who flipped the seat in 2024 following Elissa Slotkin's Senate bid, faces William Lawrence, the progressive activist who secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the contest as a toss-up, while Decision Desk HQ notes a lean Democratic. Limited general-election polling, including a June survey showing Lawrence narrowly ahead, combined with the district's university population, labor presence, and midterm dynamics, supports the current implied probability favoring Democrats. Upcoming campaign events and any late-cycle shifts in national conditions could still alter positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$17,754Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 7th congressional district remains a toss-up heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, with traders assigning the Democratic nominee a modest edge. Republican incumbent Tom Barrett, a first-term representative who flipped the seat in 2024 following Elissa Slotkin's Senate bid, faces William Lawrence, the progressive activist who secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the contest as a toss-up, while Decision Desk HQ notes a lean Democratic. Limited general-election polling, including a June survey showing Lawrence narrowly ahead, combined with the district's university population, labor presence, and midterm dynamics, supports the current implied probability favoring Democrats. Upcoming campaign events and any late-cycle shifts in national conditions could still alter positioning.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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