Incumbent Rep. Nikki Budzinski's dominant 76% Democratic primary win on March 17 solidified trader consensus favoring Democrats at 92.5% in the IL-13 House race, reflecting the district's gerrymandered structure packing liberal cores in Champaign-Urbana, Springfield, and St. Louis suburbs. With a Cook PVI of D+5, unanimous Safe/Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Budzinski's prior victories exceeding presidential margins—58% in 2024 despite a 10-point Democratic edge—GOP nominee Jeff Wilson, a Champaign County Board member who took 67% in his primary, confronts entrenched incumbency and partisan barriers. Rare shifts like a national Republican midterm surge, incumbent scandal, or health issues could challenge this, but none have emerged post-primaries ahead of the November 3 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoIL-13 House Election Winner
IL-13 House Election Winner
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$2,669 Vol.
93%
Republican Party
$1,477 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Nikki Budzinski's dominant 76% Democratic primary win on March 17 solidified trader consensus favoring Democrats at 92.5% in the IL-13 House race, reflecting the district's gerrymandered structure packing liberal cores in Champaign-Urbana, Springfield, and St. Louis suburbs. With a Cook PVI of D+5, unanimous Safe/Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Budzinski's prior victories exceeding presidential margins—58% in 2024 despite a 10-point Democratic edge—GOP nominee Jeff Wilson, a Champaign County Board member who took 67% in his primary, confronts entrenched incumbency and partisan barriers. Rare shifts like a national Republican midterm surge, incumbent scandal, or health issues could challenge this, but none have emerged post-primaries ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$4,146Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Nikki Budzinski's dominant 76% Democratic primary win on March 17 solidified trader consensus favoring Democrats at 92.5% in the IL-13 House race, reflecting the district's gerrymandered structure packing liberal cores in Champaign-Urbana, Springfield, and St. Louis suburbs. With a Cook PVI of D+5, unanimous Safe/Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Budzinski's prior victories exceeding presidential margins—58% in 2024 despite a 10-point Democratic edge—GOP nominee Jeff Wilson, a Champaign County Board member who took 67% in his primary, confronts entrenched incumbency and partisan barriers. Rare shifts like a national Republican midterm surge, incumbent scandal, or health issues could challenge this, but none have emerged post-primaries ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$4,146Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Nikki Budzinski's dominant 76% Democratic primary win on March 17 solidified trader consensus favoring Democrats at 92.5% in the IL-13 House race, reflecting the district's gerrymandered structure packing liberal cores in Champaign-Urbana, Springfield, and St. Louis suburbs. With a Cook PVI of D+5, unanimous Safe/Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Budzinski's prior victories exceeding presidential margins—58% in 2024 despite a 10-point Democratic edge—GOP nominee Jeff Wilson, a Champaign County Board member who took 67% in his primary, confronts entrenched incumbency and partisan barriers. Rare shifts like a national Republican midterm surge, incumbent scandal, or health issues could challenge this, but none have emerged post-primaries ahead of the November 3 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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