Incumbent Democratic Representative Nikki Budzinski holds a commanding position in Illinois’s 13th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The district’s Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook PVI and Budzinski’s double-digit 2024 margin, underpins trader consensus for a Democratic hold. Budzinski defeated her primary challenger by a wide margin in March 2026, while Republican nominee Jeff Wilson advanced without notable opposition. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Safe or Solid Democratic, consistent with the district’s recent voting patterns in central Illinois areas including Springfield and Champaign. A substantial national Republican wave, major scandal, or unexpected candidate withdrawal could narrow the gap, though historical base rates and current fundamentals make such shifts improbable before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoIL-13 House Election Winner
$14,868 Vol.
$14,868 Vol.
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$14,868 Vol.
$14,868 Vol.
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Risolutore
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Risolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Nikki Budzinski holds a commanding position in Illinois’s 13th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The district’s Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook PVI and Budzinski’s double-digit 2024 margin, underpins trader consensus for a Democratic hold. Budzinski defeated her primary challenger by a wide margin in March 2026, while Republican nominee Jeff Wilson advanced without notable opposition. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Safe or Solid Democratic, consistent with the district’s recent voting patterns in central Illinois areas including Springfield and Champaign. A substantial national Republican wave, major scandal, or unexpected candidate withdrawal could narrow the gap, though historical base rates and current fundamentals make such shifts improbable before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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