Incumbent Democrat Ritchie Torres secured the party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 72 percent of the vote, facing only nominal Republican opposition in the general election from Stylo Sapaskis. NY-15's consistent Democratic performance, including large margins in prior cycles, underpins trader consensus reflected in the current odds. Forecasters rate the seat as solidly or safely Democratic, with projections showing a wide vote share advantage for the incumbent. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong national Republican surge before November 3, though historical patterns and the district's makeup make such developments improbable drivers of change.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera NY-15
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera NY-15
$46,414 Vol.
$46,414 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
98%
Partito Repubblicano
<1%
$46,414 Vol.
$46,414 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
$27,077 Vol.
98%
Partito Repubblicano
$19,338 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Ritchie Torres secured the party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 72 percent of the vote, facing only nominal Republican opposition in the general election from Stylo Sapaskis. NY-15's consistent Democratic performance, including large margins in prior cycles, underpins trader consensus reflected in the current odds. Forecasters rate the seat as solidly or safely Democratic, with projections showing a wide vote share advantage for the incumbent. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong national Republican surge before November 3, though historical patterns and the district's makeup make such developments improbable drivers of change.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$46,414Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Ritchie Torres secured the party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 72 percent of the vote, facing only nominal Republican opposition in the general election from Stylo Sapaskis. NY-15's consistent Democratic performance, including large margins in prior cycles, underpins trader consensus reflected in the current odds. Forecasters rate the seat as solidly or safely Democratic, with projections showing a wide vote share advantage for the incumbent. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong national Republican surge before November 3, though historical patterns and the district's makeup make such developments improbable drivers of change.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$46,414Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Ritchie Torres secured the party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 72 percent of the vote, facing only nominal Republican opposition in the general election from Stylo Sapaskis. NY-15's consistent Democratic performance, including large margins in prior cycles, underpins trader consensus reflected in the current odds. Forecasters rate the seat as solidly or safely Democratic, with projections showing a wide vote share advantage for the incumbent. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong national Republican surge before November 3, though historical patterns and the district's makeup make such developments improbable drivers of change.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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