Incumbent Republican Monica De La Cruz faces Democratic nominee Bobby Pulido in the November 2026 general election for Texas’s 15th congressional district. The race remains competitive following Pulido’s March 2026 primary victory and limited early polling that shows a narrow margin. District demographics, including a large Hispanic electorate, combined with Pulido’s name recognition as a Tejano musician, have contributed to trader positioning that slightly favors the Democratic nominee. Fundraising disparities and the Cook Political Report’s “Likely Republican” rating reflect the seat’s underlying partisan lean, yet the current market prices capture uncertainty tied to turnout patterns and the general election environment six months out.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoTX-15 House Election Winner
TX-15 House Election Winner
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 nov 2026
Democratic Party
60%
Republican Party
45%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$1,060 Vol.
60%
Republican Party
$1,233 Vol.
45%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Monica De La Cruz faces Democratic nominee Bobby Pulido in the November 2026 general election for Texas’s 15th congressional district. The race remains competitive following Pulido’s March 2026 primary victory and limited early polling that shows a narrow margin. District demographics, including a large Hispanic electorate, combined with Pulido’s name recognition as a Tejano musician, have contributed to trader positioning that slightly favors the Democratic nominee. Fundraising disparities and the Cook Political Report’s “Likely Republican” rating reflect the seat’s underlying partisan lean, yet the current market prices capture uncertainty tied to turnout patterns and the general election environment six months out.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Volume
$2,293Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Monica De La Cruz faces Democratic nominee Bobby Pulido in the November 2026 general election for Texas’s 15th congressional district. The race remains competitive following Pulido’s March 2026 primary victory and limited early polling that shows a narrow margin. District demographics, including a large Hispanic electorate, combined with Pulido’s name recognition as a Tejano musician, have contributed to trader positioning that slightly favors the Democratic nominee. Fundraising disparities and the Cook Political Report’s “Likely Republican” rating reflect the seat’s underlying partisan lean, yet the current market prices capture uncertainty tied to turnout patterns and the general election environment six months out.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$2,293Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Monica De La Cruz faces Democratic nominee Bobby Pulido in the November 2026 general election for Texas’s 15th congressional district. The race remains competitive following Pulido’s March 2026 primary victory and limited early polling that shows a narrow margin. District demographics, including a large Hispanic electorate, combined with Pulido’s name recognition as a Tejano musician, have contributed to trader positioning that slightly favors the Democratic nominee. Fundraising disparities and the Cook Political Report’s “Likely Republican” rating reflect the seat’s underlying partisan lean, yet the current market prices capture uncertainty tied to turnout patterns and the general election environment six months out.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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