Incumbent Republican David Kustoff’s unopposed primary victory and the district’s R+10 partisan lean, reinforced by mid-decade redistricting that added Republican-leaning Shelby County territory while preserving rural West Tennessee strongholds, anchor trader consensus at 92.5% for a Republican win. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with Kustoff’s prior margins exceeding 70 points and the absence of competitive Democratic opposition after Heidi Kuhn’s primary win. Limited independent filings and no recent polling shifts further stabilize the implied probability. A late scandal, health event, or unforeseen national midterm wave could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though structural advantages make such reversals unlikely.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera TN-08
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera TN-08
$30,940 Vol.
$30,940 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
93%
Partito Democratico
6%
$30,940 Vol.
$30,940 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
$18,392 Vol.
93%
Partito Democratico
$12,549 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican David Kustoff’s unopposed primary victory and the district’s R+10 partisan lean, reinforced by mid-decade redistricting that added Republican-leaning Shelby County territory while preserving rural West Tennessee strongholds, anchor trader consensus at 92.5% for a Republican win. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with Kustoff’s prior margins exceeding 70 points and the absence of competitive Democratic opposition after Heidi Kuhn’s primary win. Limited independent filings and no recent polling shifts further stabilize the implied probability. A late scandal, health event, or unforeseen national midterm wave could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though structural advantages make such reversals unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$30,940Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican David Kustoff’s unopposed primary victory and the district’s R+10 partisan lean, reinforced by mid-decade redistricting that added Republican-leaning Shelby County territory while preserving rural West Tennessee strongholds, anchor trader consensus at 92.5% for a Republican win. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with Kustoff’s prior margins exceeding 70 points and the absence of competitive Democratic opposition after Heidi Kuhn’s primary win. Limited independent filings and no recent polling shifts further stabilize the implied probability. A late scandal, health event, or unforeseen national midterm wave could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though structural advantages make such reversals unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$30,940Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican David Kustoff’s unopposed primary victory and the district’s R+10 partisan lean, reinforced by mid-decade redistricting that added Republican-leaning Shelby County territory while preserving rural West Tennessee strongholds, anchor trader consensus at 92.5% for a Republican win. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with Kustoff’s prior margins exceeding 70 points and the absence of competitive Democratic opposition after Heidi Kuhn’s primary win. Limited independent filings and no recent polling shifts further stabilize the implied probability. A late scandal, health event, or unforeseen national midterm wave could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though structural advantages make such reversals unlikely.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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