Tennessee’s redistricting in May 2026 transformed the 9th district from a Memphis-centered Democratic stronghold into an open seat extending toward Nashville suburbs that backed Trump by 21 points in the prior cycle. Longtime incumbent Steve Cohen withdrew rather than run in the revised lines, leaving both parties to contest August primaries for the November general election. The new map’s partisan voting index now aligns with Republican-leaning territory, producing the current trader consensus that the GOP nominee will prevail. Multiple Republican primary candidates, including state Sen. Brent Taylor and Rep. Todd Warner, have already filed, while Democratic hopefuls face a narrower path in the altered district. No major late developments have altered the fundamentals since the map took effect.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera TN-09
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera TN-09
$30,443 Vol.
$30,443 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
81%
Partito Democratico
20%
$30,443 Vol.
$30,443 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
$17,384 Vol.
81%
Partito Democratico
$13,059 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee’s redistricting in May 2026 transformed the 9th district from a Memphis-centered Democratic stronghold into an open seat extending toward Nashville suburbs that backed Trump by 21 points in the prior cycle. Longtime incumbent Steve Cohen withdrew rather than run in the revised lines, leaving both parties to contest August primaries for the November general election. The new map’s partisan voting index now aligns with Republican-leaning territory, producing the current trader consensus that the GOP nominee will prevail. Multiple Republican primary candidates, including state Sen. Brent Taylor and Rep. Todd Warner, have already filed, while Democratic hopefuls face a narrower path in the altered district. No major late developments have altered the fundamentals since the map took effect.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$30,443Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee’s redistricting in May 2026 transformed the 9th district from a Memphis-centered Democratic stronghold into an open seat extending toward Nashville suburbs that backed Trump by 21 points in the prior cycle. Longtime incumbent Steve Cohen withdrew rather than run in the revised lines, leaving both parties to contest August primaries for the November general election. The new map’s partisan voting index now aligns with Republican-leaning territory, producing the current trader consensus that the GOP nominee will prevail. Multiple Republican primary candidates, including state Sen. Brent Taylor and Rep. Todd Warner, have already filed, while Democratic hopefuls face a narrower path in the altered district. No major late developments have altered the fundamentals since the map took effect.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$30,443Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee’s redistricting in May 2026 transformed the 9th district from a Memphis-centered Democratic stronghold into an open seat extending toward Nashville suburbs that backed Trump by 21 points in the prior cycle. Longtime incumbent Steve Cohen withdrew rather than run in the revised lines, leaving both parties to contest August primaries for the November general election. The new map’s partisan voting index now aligns with Republican-leaning territory, producing the current trader consensus that the GOP nominee will prevail. Multiple Republican primary candidates, including state Sen. Brent Taylor and Rep. Todd Warner, have already filed, while Democratic hopefuls face a narrower path in the altered district. No major late developments have altered the fundamentals since the map took effect.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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