Tennessee's 9th congressional district underwent mid-decade redistricting in May 2026, expanding from its Memphis base to include more suburban and rural areas that favored Republican presidential candidates by a 21-point margin. Longtime Democratic incumbent Steve Cohen opted not to seek re-election under the new lines, leaving an open seat with an August 6 primary and November general election ahead. Multiple Republican candidates, including state Sen. Brent Taylor and Rep. Todd Warner, have entered the race and secured early endorsements, while Democratic contenders such as state Rep. Justin Pearson and state Sen. London Lamar compete in their primary. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's shifted partisan voting index and the absence of an entrenched incumbent.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera TN-09
$30,443 Vol.
$30,443 Vol.
Partito Repubblicano
81%
Partito Democratico
20%
$30,443 Vol.
$30,443 Vol.
Partito Repubblicano
81%
Partito Democratico
20%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 9th congressional district underwent mid-decade redistricting in May 2026, expanding from its Memphis base to include more suburban and rural areas that favored Republican presidential candidates by a 21-point margin. Longtime Democratic incumbent Steve Cohen opted not to seek re-election under the new lines, leaving an open seat with an August 6 primary and November general election ahead. Multiple Republican candidates, including state Sen. Brent Taylor and Rep. Todd Warner, have entered the race and secured early endorsements, while Democratic contenders such as state Rep. Justin Pearson and state Sen. London Lamar compete in their primary. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's shifted partisan voting index and the absence of an entrenched incumbent.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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