**Republican candidates hold a strong position in Tennessee's 9th congressional district for the November 2026 general election, with traders assigning the Republican Party an 83% implied probability of victory compared to 15.5% for Democrats.** The district's May 2026 redistricting by the Republican-controlled legislature transformed its composition, extending from Memphis into rural Middle Tennessee counties and Nashville suburbs while shifting the Cook Partisan Voting Index to R+9 and recording a 21-point Trump margin in the prior cycle. Longtime Democratic incumbent Steve Cohen withdrew shortly after the map change, converting the seat to an open race. Primary contests for both parties conclude today, August 6, with Republicans featuring a crowded field that includes Trump-endorsed state Sen. Brent Taylor. Forecasting outlets largely rate the general election as Solid or Likely Republican, underscoring how the new boundaries and open-seat dynamics have elevated Republican prospects ahead of November.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera TN-09
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera TN-09
$32,566 Vol.
$32,566 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
83%
Partito Democratico
16%
$32,566 Vol.
$32,566 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
$19,352 Vol.
83%
Partito Democratico
$13,214 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican candidates hold a strong position in Tennessee's 9th congressional district for the November 2026 general election, with traders assigning the Republican Party an 83% implied probability of victory compared to 15.5% for Democrats.**
The district's May 2026 redistricting by the Republican-controlled legislature transformed its composition, extending from Memphis into rural Middle Tennessee counties and Nashville suburbs while shifting the Cook Partisan Voting Index to R+9 and recording a 21-point Trump margin in the prior cycle. Longtime Democratic incumbent Steve Cohen withdrew shortly after the map change, converting the seat to an open race. Primary contests for both parties conclude today, August 6, with Republicans featuring a crowded field that includes Trump-endorsed state Sen. Brent Taylor.
Forecasting outlets largely rate the general election as Solid or Likely Republican, underscoring how the new boundaries and open-seat dynamics have elevated Republican prospects ahead of November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$32,566Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican candidates hold a strong position in Tennessee's 9th congressional district for the November 2026 general election, with traders assigning the Republican Party an 83% implied probability of victory compared to 15.5% for Democrats.**
The district's May 2026 redistricting by the Republican-controlled legislature transformed its composition, extending from Memphis into rural Middle Tennessee counties and Nashville suburbs while shifting the Cook Partisan Voting Index to R+9 and recording a 21-point Trump margin in the prior cycle. Longtime Democratic incumbent Steve Cohen withdrew shortly after the map change, converting the seat to an open race. Primary contests for both parties conclude today, August 6, with Republicans featuring a crowded field that includes Trump-endorsed state Sen. Brent Taylor.
Forecasting outlets largely rate the general election as Solid or Likely Republican, underscoring how the new boundaries and open-seat dynamics have elevated Republican prospects ahead of November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$32,566Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Republican candidates hold a strong position in Tennessee's 9th congressional district for the November 2026 general election, with traders assigning the Republican Party an 83% implied probability of victory compared to 15.5% for Democrats.** The district's May 2026 redistricting by the Republican-controlled legislature transformed its composition, extending from Memphis into rural Middle Tennessee counties and Nashville suburbs while shifting the Cook Partisan Voting Index to R+9 and recording a 21-point Trump margin in the prior cycle. Longtime Democratic incumbent Steve Cohen withdrew shortly after the map change, converting the seat to an open race. Primary contests for both parties conclude today, August 6, with Republicans featuring a crowded field that includes Trump-endorsed state Sen. Brent Taylor. Forecasting outlets largely rate the general election as Solid or Likely Republican, underscoring how the new boundaries and open-seat dynamics have elevated Republican prospects ahead of November.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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