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Politica·Messico

Vincitore delle elezioni del governatore di Michoacán

icon for Vincitore delle elezioni del governatore di Michoacán
Politica·Messico

Vincitore delle elezioni del governatore di Michoacán

Alfonso Martínez Alcázar 61%

Carlos Herrera Tello 25%

Fabiola Alanís Sámano 24%

Marko Cortés Mendoza 24%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Alfonso Martínez Alcázar 61%

Carlos Herrera Tello 25%

Fabiola Alanís Sámano 24%

Marko Cortés Mendoza 24%

Polymarket
NUOVO
icon for Alfonso Martínez Alcázar

Alfonso Martínez Alcázar

$47 Vol.

61%

icon for Carlos Herrera Tello

Carlos Herrera Tello

$47 Vol.

25%

icon for Fabiola Alanís Sámano

Fabiola Alanís Sámano

$47 Vol.

24%

icon for Marko Cortés Mendoza

Marko Cortés Mendoza

$47 Vol.

24%

icon for Raúl Morón Orozco

Raúl Morón Orozco

$47 Vol.

23%

icon for Germán Martínez Cázares

Germán Martínez Cázares

$47 Vol.

23%

icon for Grecia Quiroz

Grecia Quiroz

$47 Vol.

23%

icon for Celeste Ascencio Ortega

Celeste Ascencio Ortega

$47 Vol.

22%

icon for Adriana Hernández Íñiguez

Adriana Hernández Íñiguez

$47 Vol.

20%

icon for Ana Lilia Guillén Quiroz

Ana Lilia Guillén Quiroz

$47 Vol.

18%

icon for Esteban González Nava

Esteban González Nava

$47 Vol.

12%

icon for Leinad Abigail Rojas Elenes

Leinad Abigail Rojas Elenes

$68 Vol.

10%

icon for Edna Martínez Nambo

Edna Martínez Nambo

$47 Vol.

8%

icon for Ernesto Núñez Aguilar

Ernesto Núñez Aguilar

$68 Vol.

8%

icon for Daniela de los Santos

Daniela de los Santos

$68 Vol.

8%

icon for Víctor Manuel Manríquez

Víctor Manuel Manríquez

$47 Vol.

7%

icon for Carlos Torres Piña

Carlos Torres Piña

$47 Vol.

7%

icon for Gabriela Molina Aguilar

Gabriela Molina Aguilar

$47 Vol.

7%

icon for Netzahualcóyotl Alarcón Pedraza

Netzahualcóyotl Alarcón Pedraza

$47 Vol.

7%

icon for Netzahualcóyotl Alanís Luna

Netzahualcóyotl Alanís Luna

$47 Vol.

6%

icon for Gladyz Butanda Macías

Gladyz Butanda Macías

$47 Vol.

22%

icon for Guillermo Valencia Reyes

Guillermo Valencia Reyes

$47 Vol.

22%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Michoacán on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Michoacán and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Michoacán and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Early polling for the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial election shows Morena maintaining a clear lead in statewide party preference near 42 percent, well ahead of the PAN, while no major party has finalized its nominee. This fragmentation keeps implied probabilities clustered among multiple contenders, including Alfonso Martínez Alcázar, Carlos Herrera Tello, Grecia Quiroz, and Gladyz Butanda Macías, each trading in the low-to-mid 20s. Internal Morena surveys highlight Carlos Torres Piña as the current favorite within that bloc. Trader consensus reflects the wide field, early stage of candidate selection, and absence of decisive primary outcomes or major campaign shifts that could consolidate support. Further party conventions, new statewide surveys, and official registrations could widen gaps among the leaders.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Michoacán on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Michoacán and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Michoacán and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$1,105
Data di fine
6 giu 2027
Mercato aperto
Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Michoacán on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Michoacán and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Michoacán and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Michoacán on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Michoacán and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Michoacán and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Early polling for the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial election shows Morena maintaining a clear lead in statewide party preference near 42 percent, well ahead of the PAN, while no major party has finalized its nominee. This fragmentation keeps implied probabilities clustered among multiple contenders, including Alfonso Martínez Alcázar, Carlos Herrera Tello, Grecia Quiroz, and Gladyz Butanda Macías, each trading in the low-to-mid 20s. Internal Morena surveys highlight Carlos Torres Piña as the current favorite within that bloc. Trader consensus reflects the wide field, early stage of candidate selection, and absence of decisive primary outcomes or major campaign shifts that could consolidate support. Further party conventions, new statewide surveys, and official registrations could widen gaps among the leaders.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Michoacán on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Michoacán and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Michoacán and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$1,105
Data di fine
6 giu 2027
Mercato aperto
Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Michoacán on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Michoacán and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Michoacán and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

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Domande frequenti

"Vincitore delle elezioni del governatore di Michoacán" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 22 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Alfonso Martínez Alcázar" a 31%, seguito da "Carlos Herrera Tello" a 25%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 31¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 31% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Vincitore delle elezioni del governatore di Michoacán" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 6, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore delle elezioni del governatore di Michoacán", esplora i 22 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore delle elezioni del governatore di Michoacán" è "Alfonso Martínez Alcázar" a 31%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 31% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Carlos Herrera Tello" a 25%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore delle elezioni del governatore di Michoacán" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.