The May 2026 resignation of incumbent Sinaloa governor Rubén Rocha Moya following U.S. drug-trafficking charges tied to the Sinaloa Cartel has left the 2027 race wide open, with no dominant candidate emerging. Morena maintains a polling lead near 38 percent, yet support fragments across numerous aspirants including Estrella Palacios Domínguez, Paloma Sánchez Ramos, Imelda Castro Castro, and María Teresa Guerra Ochoa. Trader consensus prices reflect this uncertainty, with the highest-probability names clustered in the low-to-mid 30s and the field remaining fluid ahead of party nominations. Key upcoming catalysts include internal Morena selection processes and any further legal or security developments that could shift coalition alignments or voter priorities in the state.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoEduardo Ortiz Hernández 37%
Paloma Sánchez Ramos 35%
Jesús Fernando García Hernández 33%
Ricardo Madrid Pérez 31%

Eduardo Ortiz Hernández
37%

Paloma Sánchez Ramos
35%

Jesús Fernando García Hernández
33%

Ricardo Madrid Pérez
31%

María Teresa Guerra Ochoa
28%

María Fernanda Rivera
27%

Lucila Ayala de Moreschi
26%

Roxana Rubio Valdez
26%

Tomás de Jesús López Bajo
25%

Kristiam Alexis Espinoza García
25%

Sergio Torres Félix
15%

Omar López Campos
12%

Graciela Domínguez Nava
11%

Gerardo Octavio Vargas Landeros
11%

Rodolfo Valenzuela Sánchez
7%

Mario Zamora Gastélum
7%

Guillermo Romero Rodríguez
5%

Imelda Castro Castro
-

Jesús Alfonso Ibarra Ramos
27%

Estrella Palacios Domínguez
37%

Juan de Dios Gámez Mendívil
36%
Eduardo Ortiz Hernández 37%
Paloma Sánchez Ramos 35%
Jesús Fernando García Hernández 33%
Ricardo Madrid Pérez 31%

Eduardo Ortiz Hernández
37%

Paloma Sánchez Ramos
35%

Jesús Fernando García Hernández
33%

Ricardo Madrid Pérez
31%

María Teresa Guerra Ochoa
28%

María Fernanda Rivera
27%

Lucila Ayala de Moreschi
26%

Roxana Rubio Valdez
26%

Tomás de Jesús López Bajo
25%

Kristiam Alexis Espinoza García
25%

Sergio Torres Félix
15%

Omar López Campos
12%

Graciela Domínguez Nava
11%

Gerardo Octavio Vargas Landeros
11%

Rodolfo Valenzuela Sánchez
7%

Mario Zamora Gastélum
7%

Guillermo Romero Rodríguez
5%

Imelda Castro Castro
-

Jesús Alfonso Ibarra Ramos
27%

Estrella Palacios Domínguez
37%

Juan de Dios Gámez Mendívil
36%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sinaloa and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Mercato aperto: Aug 5, 2026, 6:59 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sinaloa and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The May 2026 resignation of incumbent Sinaloa governor Rubén Rocha Moya following U.S. drug-trafficking charges tied to the Sinaloa Cartel has left the 2027 race wide open, with no dominant candidate emerging. Morena maintains a polling lead near 38 percent, yet support fragments across numerous aspirants including Estrella Palacios Domínguez, Paloma Sánchez Ramos, Imelda Castro Castro, and María Teresa Guerra Ochoa. Trader consensus prices reflect this uncertainty, with the highest-probability names clustered in the low-to-mid 30s and the field remaining fluid ahead of party nominations. Key upcoming catalysts include internal Morena selection processes and any further legal or security developments that could shift coalition alignments or voter priorities in the state.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



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