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icon for Sonora Governor Election Winner
Politica·Messico

Sonora Governor Election Winner

icon for Sonora Governor Election Winner
Politica·Messico

Sonora Governor Election Winner

Lorenia Valles Sampedro 27%

Javier Lamarque Cano 22%

Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas 20.8%

Célida Teresa López Cárdenas 5.7%

Polymarket

$38,175 Vol.

Lorenia Valles Sampedro 27%

Javier Lamarque Cano 22%

Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas 20.8%

Célida Teresa López Cárdenas 5.7%

Polymarket

$38,175 Vol.

icon for Lorenia Valles Sampedro

Lorenia Valles Sampedro

$25,463 Vol.

27%

icon for Javier Lamarque Cano

Javier Lamarque Cano

$4,003 Vol.

25%

icon for Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas

Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas

$1,660 Vol.

21%

icon for Célida Teresa López Cárdenas

Célida Teresa López Cárdenas

$554 Vol.

6%

icon for Natalia Rivera Grijalva

Natalia Rivera Grijalva

$376 Vol.

3%

icon for Sylvana Beltrones Sánchez

Sylvana Beltrones Sánchez

$428 Vol.

3%

icon for Ernesto Gándara Camou

Ernesto Gándara Camou

$617 Vol.

2%

icon for Froylán Gámez Gamboa

Froylán Gámez Gamboa

$334 Vol.

1%

icon for Manuel Scott Sánchez

Manuel Scott Sánchez

$366 Vol.

1%

icon for Lilly Téllez García

Lilly Téllez García

$399 Vol.

1%

icon for Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez

Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez

$982 Vol.

17%

icon for Omar del Valle Colosio

Omar del Valle Colosio

$418 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rogelio Díaz Brown

Rogelio Díaz Brown

$355 Vol.

<1%

icon for Víctor Hugo Celaya

Víctor Hugo Celaya

$344 Vol.

<1%

icon for Guadalupe María Soto

Guadalupe María Soto

$386 Vol.

<1%

icon for Damián Zepeda Vidales

Damián Zepeda Vidales

$333 Vol.

<1%

icon for Patricia Mercado Castro

Patricia Mercado Castro

$474 Vol.

<1%

icon for María Dolores del Río Sánchez

María Dolores del Río Sánchez

$367 Vol.

<1%

icon for Heriberto Aguilar Castillo

Heriberto Aguilar Castillo

$318 Vol.

<1%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sonora on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.The closely matched probabilities among leading contenders for the Sonora gubernatorial election on June 6, 2027, stem primarily from the competitive internal contest within Morena, the party holding a substantial lead in recent statewide polling averages around 40-50%. Lorenia Valles Sampedro and Javier Lamarque Cano remain the frontrunners in Morena preference surveys through September 2026, with Célida López Cárdenas and others trailing, while opposition figures such as Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas of Movimiento Ciudadano and Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez of the PAN trail further in head-to-head scenarios. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over the final Morena nominee, potential cross-party alliances, and the absence of formal candidate registration deadlines. Upcoming internal party processes, additional polling releases, and early campaign positioning could widen gaps by clarifying the field before the June election.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sonora on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sonora on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$38,175
Data di fine
1 gen 2028
Mercato aperto
Aug 5, 2026, 6:49 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sonora on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.The closely matched probabilities among leading contenders for the Sonora gubernatorial election on June 6, 2027, stem primarily from the competitive internal contest within Morena, the party holding a substantial lead in recent statewide polling averages around 40-50%. Lorenia Valles Sampedro and Javier Lamarque Cano remain the frontrunners in Morena preference surveys through September 2026, with Célida López Cárdenas and others trailing, while opposition figures such as Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas of Movimiento Ciudadano and Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez of the PAN trail further in head-to-head scenarios. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over the final Morena nominee, potential cross-party alliances, and the absence of formal candidate registration deadlines. Upcoming internal party processes, additional polling releases, and early campaign positioning could widen gaps by clarifying the field before the June election.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sonora on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sonora on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$38,175
Data di fine
1 gen 2028
Mercato aperto
Aug 5, 2026, 6:49 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

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Domande frequenti

"Sonora Governor Election Winner" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 19 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Lorenia Valles Sampedro" a 27%, seguito da "Javier Lamarque Cano" a 25%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 27¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 27% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Sonora Governor Election Winner" ha generato $38.2K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Aug 5, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Sonora Governor Election Winner", esplora i 19 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Sonora Governor Election Winner" è "Lorenia Valles Sampedro" a 27%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 27% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Javier Lamarque Cano" a 25%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Sonora Governor Election Winner" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.