Morena and its allies hold a structural edge in Sonora voter identification and recent polls, positioning their eventual nominee as the frontrunner for the 2027 gubernatorial race. The internal contest between Lorenia Valles Sampedro and Javier Lamarque Cano remains closely matched, with surveys from June through September showing either candidate leading by narrow margins depending on the pollster. Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas of Movimiento Ciudadano and Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez, drawing support from PAN-aligned circles, represent the clearest opposition paths. Potential PAN-PRI alliances, candidate registration deadlines, and further internal Morena surveys could widen or narrow gaps among the listed contenders before the nomination phase concludes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLorenia Valles Sampedro 27%
Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas 21.0%
Javier Lamarque Cano 20%
Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez 15.8%
$38,157 Vol.
$38,157 Vol.
Lorenia Valles Sampedro
27%
Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas
21%
Javier Lamarque Cano
20%
Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez
16%
Célida Teresa López Cárdenas
6%
Ernesto Gándara Camou
3%
Natalia Rivera Grijalva
3%
Sylvana Beltrones Sánchez
3%
Froylán Gámez Gamboa
1%
Manuel Scott Sánchez
1%
Lilly Téllez García
1%
Omar del Valle Colosio
<1%
Rogelio Díaz Brown
<1%
Víctor Hugo Celaya
<1%
Guadalupe María Soto
<1%
Damián Zepeda Vidales
<1%
Patricia Mercado Castro
<1%
María Dolores del Río Sánchez
<1%
Heriberto Aguilar Castillo
<1%
Lorenia Valles Sampedro 27%
Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas 21.0%
Javier Lamarque Cano 20%
Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez 15.8%
$38,157 Vol.
$38,157 Vol.
Lorenia Valles Sampedro
27%
Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas
21%
Javier Lamarque Cano
20%
Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez
16%
Célida Teresa López Cárdenas
6%
Ernesto Gándara Camou
3%
Natalia Rivera Grijalva
3%
Sylvana Beltrones Sánchez
3%
Froylán Gámez Gamboa
1%
Manuel Scott Sánchez
1%
Lilly Téllez García
1%
Omar del Valle Colosio
<1%
Rogelio Díaz Brown
<1%
Víctor Hugo Celaya
<1%
Guadalupe María Soto
<1%
Damián Zepeda Vidales
<1%
Patricia Mercado Castro
<1%
María Dolores del Río Sánchez
<1%
Heriberto Aguilar Castillo
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Mercato aperto: Aug 5, 2026, 6:49 AM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Morena and its allies hold a structural edge in Sonora voter identification and recent polls, positioning their eventual nominee as the frontrunner for the 2027 gubernatorial race. The internal contest between Lorenia Valles Sampedro and Javier Lamarque Cano remains closely matched, with surveys from June through September showing either candidate leading by narrow margins depending on the pollster. Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas of Movimiento Ciudadano and Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez, drawing support from PAN-aligned circles, represent the clearest opposition paths. Potential PAN-PRI alliances, candidate registration deadlines, and further internal Morena surveys could widen or narrow gaps among the listed contenders before the nomination phase concludes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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