The closely matched trader consensus around 50–56% turnout for Russia's September 18–20 State Duma election reflects historical benchmarks near 52% in 2021 alongside variable public-sector mobilization in a wartime environment marked by fuel shortages, strikes on Russian territory, and declining approval ratings. Kremlin targets have been revised downward multiple times since late 2025, now emphasizing plausible rather than ambitious figures, while multi-day voting and expanded remote electronic options in select regions aim to support participation without spurring organic interest. Recent polls show stable but unsurging engagement amid United Russia dominance and minimal state media coverage, keeping probabilities balanced until late mobilization efforts or regional voting patterns provide clearer signals.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoRussia Parliamentary Election: Turnout
Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout
50-53% 33%
53-56% 29.2%
59-62% 10.6%
62%+ 10.3%
$53,833 Vol.
$53,833 Vol.
19 set 2026
<47%
2%
47-50%
10%
50-53%
33%
53-56%
29%
56-59%
9%
59-62%
11%
62%+
10%
50-53% 33%
53-56% 29.2%
59-62% 10.6%
62%+ 10.3%
$53,833 Vol.
$53,833 Vol.
19 set 2026
<47%
$2,385 Vol.
2%
47-50%
$6,437 Vol.
10%
50-53%
$5,437 Vol.
33%
53-56%
$3,387 Vol.
29%
56-59%
$6,286 Vol.
9%
59-62%
$5,236 Vol.
11%
62%+
$24,666 Vol.
10%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.The closely matched trader consensus around 50–56% turnout for Russia's September 18–20 State Duma election reflects historical benchmarks near 52% in 2021 alongside variable public-sector mobilization in a wartime environment marked by fuel shortages, strikes on Russian territory, and declining approval ratings. Kremlin targets have been revised downward multiple times since late 2025, now emphasizing plausible rather than ambitious figures, while multi-day voting and expanded remote electronic options in select regions aim to support participation without spurring organic interest. Recent polls show stable but unsurging engagement amid United Russia dominance and minimal state media coverage, keeping probabilities balanced until late mobilization efforts or regional voting patterns provide clearer signals.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Mercato aperto: Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ET
Volume
$53,833Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.The closely matched trader consensus around 50–56% turnout for Russia's September 18–20 State Duma election reflects historical benchmarks near 52% in 2021 alongside variable public-sector mobilization in a wartime environment marked by fuel shortages, strikes on Russian territory, and declining approval ratings. Kremlin targets have been revised downward multiple times since late 2025, now emphasizing plausible rather than ambitious figures, while multi-day voting and expanded remote electronic options in select regions aim to support participation without spurring organic interest. Recent polls show stable but unsurging engagement amid United Russia dominance and minimal state media coverage, keeping probabilities balanced until late mobilization efforts or regional voting patterns provide clearer signals.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Volume
$53,833Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched trader consensus around 50–56% turnout for Russia's September 18–20 State Duma election reflects historical benchmarks near 52% in 2021 alongside variable public-sector mobilization in a wartime environment marked by fuel shortages, strikes on Russian territory, and declining approval ratings. Kremlin targets have been revised downward multiple times since late 2025, now emphasizing plausible rather than ambitious figures, while multi-day voting and expanded remote electronic options in select regions aim to support participation without spurring organic interest. Recent polls show stable but unsurging engagement amid United Russia dominance and minimal state media coverage, keeping probabilities balanced until late mobilization efforts or regional voting patterns provide clearer signals.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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