Russia's State Duma elections, set for September 18–20, 2026, feature multi-day voting and expanded electronic options that historically support moderate participation. Trader pricing clusters around 50–56% turnout because Kremlin mobilization through state employees and corporate networks has produced variable results amid war fatigue, economic pressures including fuel shortages, and declining approval for United Russia. Recent downward revisions to internal turnout and vote-share targets reflect these headwinds, while polls show declared intent near 66% but actual engagement tempered by limited campaign visibility and reduced opposition competition. Intensified “mobilizer” oversight or shifts in conflict dynamics could push figures higher or entrench abstention in the final weeks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoRussia Parliamentary Election: Turnout
50-53% 30%
53-56% 28.9%
47-50% 12%
59-62% 10.5%
$54,328 Vol.
$54,328 Vol.
<47%
2%
47-50%
12%
50-53%
30%
53-56%
29%
56-59%
10%
59-62%
11%
62%+
10%
50-53% 30%
53-56% 28.9%
47-50% 12%
59-62% 10.5%
$54,328 Vol.
$54,328 Vol.
<47%
2%
47-50%
12%
50-53%
30%
53-56%
29%
56-59%
10%
59-62%
11%
62%+
10%
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Mercato aperto: Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Russia's State Duma elections, set for September 18–20, 2026, feature multi-day voting and expanded electronic options that historically support moderate participation. Trader pricing clusters around 50–56% turnout because Kremlin mobilization through state employees and corporate networks has produced variable results amid war fatigue, economic pressures including fuel shortages, and declining approval for United Russia. Recent downward revisions to internal turnout and vote-share targets reflect these headwinds, while polls show declared intent near 66% but actual engagement tempered by limited campaign visibility and reduced opposition competition. Intensified “mobilizer” oversight or shifts in conflict dynamics could push figures higher or entrench abstention in the final weeks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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