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Politica·Australia

Prossimo Premier di Victoria

icon for Prossimo Premier di Victoria
Politica·Australia

Prossimo Premier di Victoria

Jess Wilson 64%

David Southwick 24.0%

Ben Carroll 21%

Gabrielle Williams 19.7%

Polymarket

$10,677 Vol.

Jess Wilson 64%

David Southwick 24.0%

Ben Carroll 21%

Gabrielle Williams 19.7%

Polymarket

$10,677 Vol.

icon for Jess Wilson

Jess Wilson

$1,017 Vol.

64%

icon for David Southwick

David Southwick

$50 Vol.

24%

icon for Ben Carroll

Ben Carroll

$643 Vol.

21%

icon for Gabrielle Williams

Gabrielle Williams

$50 Vol.

20%

icon for Warren Pickering

Warren Pickering

$978 Vol.

15%

icon for Jacinta Allan

Jacinta Allan

$192 Vol.

4%

icon for Sonya Kilkenny

Sonya Kilkenny

$100 Vol.

8%

icon for Steve Dimopoulos

Steve Dimopoulos

$100 Vol.

18%

icon for Emma Kealy

Emma Kealy

$1,028 Vol.

7%

icon for Brad Battin

Brad Battin

$1,028 Vol.

<1%

icon for James Newbury

James Newbury

$1,066 Vol.

<1%

icon for Danny O'Brien

Danny O'Brien

$1,303 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ellen Sandell

Ellen Sandell

$1,028 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jaclyn Symes

Jaclyn Symes

$1,028 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sam Groth

Sam Groth

$1,066 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Victoria as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn-in as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Victoria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jess Wilson, the Liberal opposition leader since November 2025, leads trader pricing for Victoria’s next premier ahead of the November 28, 2026 state election. Consistent polling shows the Coalition ahead of Labor on a two-party-preferred basis, with Wilson favored over current Premier Ben Carroll as preferred leader. Carroll assumed the premiership in late July after Jacinta Allan resigned under caucus pressure following a chaotic leadership transition; the change has not lifted Labor’s primary vote, which remains in the mid-20s amid a fragmented three-way contest with One Nation polling near 22-24 percent. Wilson has sustained momentum through policy releases on justice reforms, bail changes, housing supply, and cost-of-living measures. Traders reflect these dynamics by pricing Wilson well ahead of Carroll, Allan, One Nation’s Warren Pickering, and other Labor figures.

The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Victoria as a result of the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn-in as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Victoria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$10,677
Data di fine
28 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 27, 2026, 8:24 AM ET

Fonte di risoluzione

https://www.vic.gov.au/premier

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Victoria as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn-in as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Victoria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Victoria as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn-in as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Victoria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jess Wilson, the Liberal opposition leader since November 2025, leads trader pricing for Victoria’s next premier ahead of the November 28, 2026 state election. Consistent polling shows the Coalition ahead of Labor on a two-party-preferred basis, with Wilson favored over current Premier Ben Carroll as preferred leader. Carroll assumed the premiership in late July after Jacinta Allan resigned under caucus pressure following a chaotic leadership transition; the change has not lifted Labor’s primary vote, which remains in the mid-20s amid a fragmented three-way contest with One Nation polling near 22-24 percent. Wilson has sustained momentum through policy releases on justice reforms, bail changes, housing supply, and cost-of-living measures. Traders reflect these dynamics by pricing Wilson well ahead of Carroll, Allan, One Nation’s Warren Pickering, and other Labor figures.

The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Victoria as a result of the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn-in as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Victoria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$10,677
Data di fine
28 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 27, 2026, 8:24 AM ET

Fonte di risoluzione

https://www.vic.gov.au/premier

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Victoria as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn-in as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Victoria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Correlati

icon for Will Liberal–National win the most seats in the next Victorian state election?

Will Liberal–National win the most seats in the next Victorian state election?

78%
icon for Marianne Alto vincerà le elezioni per il sindaco di Victoria del 2026?

Marianne Alto vincerà le elezioni per il sindaco di Victoria del 2026?

91%
Sì
icon for Will Labor win the second-most seats in the next Victorian state election?

Will Labor win the second-most seats in the next Victorian state election?

79%

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Prossimo Premier di Victoria" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 15 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Jess Wilson" a 64%, seguito da "David Southwick" a 24%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 64¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 64% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Prossimo Premier di Victoria" ha generato $10.7K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Aug 27, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Prossimo Premier di Victoria", esplora i 15 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Prossimo Premier di Victoria" è "Jess Wilson" a 64%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 64% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "David Southwick" a 24%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Prossimo Premier di Victoria" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.