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Mondo·Brasile

Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 3° posto

Market icon
Mondo·Brasile

Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 3° posto

Ronaldo Caiado 40%

Renan Santos 34%

Romeu Zema 8%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 3.9%

Polymarket

$195,201 Vol.

Ronaldo Caiado 40%

Renan Santos 34%

Romeu Zema 8%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 3.9%

Polymarket

$195,201 Vol.

Ronaldo Caiado arriverà terzo al primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali brasiliane del 2026? icon

Ronaldo Caiado

$9,471 Vol.

40%

Renan Santos finirà al terzo posto nel primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali brasiliane del 2026? icon

Renan Santos

$25,427 Vol.

34%

Romeu Zema finirà al terzo posto al primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali brasiliane del 2026? icon

Romeu Zema

$3,208 Vol.

8%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finirà al terzo posto nel primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali brasiliane del 2026? icon

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$2,905 Vol.

4%

Fernando Haddad finirà al terzo posto nel primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali brasiliane del 2026? icon

Fernando Haddad

$12,068 Vol.

4%

Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finirà al terzo posto nel primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali brasiliane del 2026? icon

Ratinho Júnior

$90,145 Vol.

3%

Flávio Bolsonaro finirà al terzo posto nel primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali brasiliane del 2026? icon

Flávio Bolsonaro

$2,543 Vol.

3%

Tarcisio de Freitas arriverà terzo nel primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali brasiliane del 2026? icon

Tarcisio de Freitas

$2,764 Vol.

2%

Jair Bolsonaro finirà al terzo posto al primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali brasiliane del 2026? icon

Jair Bolsonaro

$1,981 Vol.

2%

Eduardo Bolsonaro finirà al terzo posto al primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali brasiliane del 2026? icon

Eduardo Bolsonaro

$34,211 Vol.

1%

Geraldo Alckmin finirà al terzo posto nel primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali brasiliane del 2026? icon

Geraldo Alckmin

$2,692 Vol.

1%

Camilo Santana finirà al terzo posto nel primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali brasiliane del 2026? icon

Camilo Santana

$3,577 Vol.

1%

Michelle Bolsonaro finirà al terzo posto nel primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali brasiliane del 2026? icon

Michelle Bolsonaro

$2,024 Vol.

1%

Aldo Rebelo finirà al terzo posto nel primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali brasiliane del 2026? icon

Aldo Rebelo

$1,236 Vol.

<1%

Eduardo Leite finirà al terzo posto nel primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali brasiliane del 2026? icon

Eduardo Leite

$950 Vol.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent April polls from Datafolha, Futura, MDA, and Ideia show President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro in a tight first-round duel at 35–40% each, with São Paulo Governor Tarcísio de Freitas—polling third at 5–6%—ineligible for the presidential ballot due to his gubernatorial reelection bid and the April 4 resignation deadline. This fragmentation elevates the battle for third among right-wing alternatives, where traders price Goiás Governor Ronaldo Caiado at 40% implied probability following his March 30 PSD nomination, narrowly ahead of Mission Party's Renan Santos at 34%, whose antissistema appeal has driven youth support and poll gains from 0.8% to low-single digits. Romeu Zema lags at 8% amid stagnant surveys. Endorsements, scandals, or vote consolidation could tip the closely contested third-place race before the October 4 first round.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$195,201
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent April polls from Datafolha, Futura, MDA, and Ideia show President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro in a tight first-round duel at 35–40% each, with São Paulo Governor Tarcísio de Freitas—polling third at 5–6%—ineligible for the presidential ballot due to his gubernatorial reelection bid and the April 4 resignation deadline. This fragmentation elevates the battle for third among right-wing alternatives, where traders price Goiás Governor Ronaldo Caiado at 40% implied probability following his March 30 PSD nomination, narrowly ahead of Mission Party's Renan Santos at 34%, whose antissistema appeal has driven youth support and poll gains from 0.8% to low-single digits. Romeu Zema lags at 8% amid stagnant surveys. Endorsements, scandals, or vote consolidation could tip the closely contested third-place race before the October 4 first round.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$195,201
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

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"Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 3° posto" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 15 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Ronaldo Caiado" a 40%, seguito da "Renan Santos" a 34%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 40¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 40% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 3° posto" ha generato $195.2K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Feb 11, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 3° posto", esplora i 15 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 3° posto" è "Ronaldo Caiado" a 40%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 40% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Renan Santos" a 34%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 3° posto" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.