Ricardo Ferraço, the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 following the prior officeholder’s resignation, holds the leading position in the Espírito Santo gubernatorial race at 66.5% implied probability. His MDB-backed candidacy benefits from established state-level alliances and recent polling that shows him ahead or in technical range of main challenger Lorenzo Pazolini, the Republicanos-affiliated mayor of Vitória, who sits at 33.5%. Lower-priced names such as Arnaldinho Borgo, Sergio Vidigal, and Euclério Sampaio reflect limited support in available surveys. Trader consensus incorporates Ferraço’s incumbency resources, party coordination ahead of the October 4 first-round vote, and the absence of major late disruptions as registration closes, while Pazolini’s urban base provides the primary competitive counterweight.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni del Governatore di Espírito Santo
Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore di Espírito Santo
Ricardo Ferraço 66%
Lorenzo Pazolini 34%
Arnaldinho Borgo 2.9%
Sergio Vidigal <1%
$13,641 Vol.
$13,641 Vol.
5 ott 2026
Ricardo Ferraço
66%
Lorenzo Pazolini
34%
Arnaldinho Borgo
3%
Sergio Vidigal
1%
Euclério Sampaio
<1%
Ricardo Ferraço 66%
Lorenzo Pazolini 34%
Arnaldinho Borgo 2.9%
Sergio Vidigal <1%
$13,641 Vol.
$13,641 Vol.
5 ott 2026
Ricardo Ferraço
$7,254 Vol.
66%
Lorenzo Pazolini
$3,546 Vol.
34%
Arnaldinho Borgo
$1,803 Vol.
3%
Sergio Vidigal
$487 Vol.
1%
Euclério Sampaio
$550 Vol.
<1%
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ricardo Ferraço, the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 following the prior officeholder’s resignation, holds the leading position in the Espírito Santo gubernatorial race at 66.5% implied probability. His MDB-backed candidacy benefits from established state-level alliances and recent polling that shows him ahead or in technical range of main challenger Lorenzo Pazolini, the Republicanos-affiliated mayor of Vitória, who sits at 33.5%. Lower-priced names such as Arnaldinho Borgo, Sergio Vidigal, and Euclério Sampaio reflect limited support in available surveys. Trader consensus incorporates Ferraço’s incumbency resources, party coordination ahead of the October 4 first-round vote, and the absence of major late disruptions as registration closes, while Pazolini’s urban base provides the primary competitive counterweight.
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercato aperto: Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
Volume
$13,641Data di fine
5 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ricardo Ferraço, the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 following the prior officeholder’s resignation, holds the leading position in the Espírito Santo gubernatorial race at 66.5% implied probability. His MDB-backed candidacy benefits from established state-level alliances and recent polling that shows him ahead or in technical range of main challenger Lorenzo Pazolini, the Republicanos-affiliated mayor of Vitória, who sits at 33.5%. Lower-priced names such as Arnaldinho Borgo, Sergio Vidigal, and Euclério Sampaio reflect limited support in available surveys. Trader consensus incorporates Ferraço’s incumbency resources, party coordination ahead of the October 4 first-round vote, and the absence of major late disruptions as registration closes, while Pazolini’s urban base provides the primary competitive counterweight.
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$13,641Data di fine
5 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ricardo Ferraço, the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 following the prior officeholder’s resignation, holds the leading position in the Espírito Santo gubernatorial race at 66.5% implied probability. His MDB-backed candidacy benefits from established state-level alliances and recent polling that shows him ahead or in technical range of main challenger Lorenzo Pazolini, the Republicanos-affiliated mayor of Vitória, who sits at 33.5%. Lower-priced names such as Arnaldinho Borgo, Sergio Vidigal, and Euclério Sampaio reflect limited support in available surveys. Trader consensus incorporates Ferraço’s incumbency resources, party coordination ahead of the October 4 first-round vote, and the absence of major late disruptions as registration closes, while Pazolini’s urban base provides the primary competitive counterweight.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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