KMT nominee Chang Chia-chun leads the Yunlin County Magistrate race with an 83.5% implied probability in the market, reflecting her March 2026 party nomination and the county's historical voting patterns ahead of the November 28, 2026 local elections. As a sitting legislator, she benefits from established KMT organizational support and limited reported opposition from other parties at this stage. Liu Chien-kuo trails at 7.5%, consistent with his focus on a separate legislative by-election rather than a magistrate bid. Trader consensus prices in these structural factors, including incumbency advantages for aligned candidates and the absence of major nomination shifts or scandals in the past 30 days. Late candidate entries or primary outcomes could still adjust positioning before registration closes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNUOVO
NUOVO
30 giu 2027
Chang Chia-chun
84%
Liu Chien-kuo
8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 giu 2027
Chang Chia-chun
$844 Vol.
84%
Liu Chien-kuo
$410 Vol.
8%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yunlin County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).KMT nominee Chang Chia-chun leads the Yunlin County Magistrate race with an 83.5% implied probability in the market, reflecting her March 2026 party nomination and the county's historical voting patterns ahead of the November 28, 2026 local elections. As a sitting legislator, she benefits from established KMT organizational support and limited reported opposition from other parties at this stage. Liu Chien-kuo trails at 7.5%, consistent with his focus on a separate legislative by-election rather than a magistrate bid. Trader consensus prices in these structural factors, including incumbency advantages for aligned candidates and the absence of major nomination shifts or scandals in the past 30 days. Late candidate entries or primary outcomes could still adjust positioning before registration closes.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yunlin County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yunlin County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Mercato aperto: Aug 14, 2026, 8:59 AM ET
Volume
$1,254Data di fine
28 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 8:59 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yunlin County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).KMT nominee Chang Chia-chun leads the Yunlin County Magistrate race with an 83.5% implied probability in the market, reflecting her March 2026 party nomination and the county's historical voting patterns ahead of the November 28, 2026 local elections. As a sitting legislator, she benefits from established KMT organizational support and limited reported opposition from other parties at this stage. Liu Chien-kuo trails at 7.5%, consistent with his focus on a separate legislative by-election rather than a magistrate bid. Trader consensus prices in these structural factors, including incumbency advantages for aligned candidates and the absence of major nomination shifts or scandals in the past 30 days. Late candidate entries or primary outcomes could still adjust positioning before registration closes.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yunlin County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yunlin County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$1,254Data di fine
28 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 8:59 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...KMT nominee Chang Chia-chun leads the Yunlin County Magistrate race with an 83.5% implied probability in the market, reflecting her March 2026 party nomination and the county's historical voting patterns ahead of the November 28, 2026 local elections. As a sitting legislator, she benefits from established KMT organizational support and limited reported opposition from other parties at this stage. Liu Chien-kuo trails at 7.5%, consistent with his focus on a separate legislative by-election rather than a magistrate bid. Trader consensus prices in these structural factors, including incumbency advantages for aligned candidates and the absence of major nomination shifts or scandals in the past 30 days. Late candidate entries or primary outcomes could still adjust positioning before registration closes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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