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icon for Vincitore delle elezioni del magistrato della contea di Hsinchu
Politica·Taiwan

Vincitore delle elezioni del magistrato della contea di Hsinchu

icon for Vincitore delle elezioni del magistrato della contea di Hsinchu
Politica·Taiwan

Vincitore delle elezioni del magistrato della contea di Hsinchu

Hsu Hsin-ying 81%

Cheng Chao-fang 20%

Lin Szu-ming <1%

Chen Chien-hsien <1%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Hsu Hsin-ying 81%

Cheng Chao-fang 20%

Lin Szu-ming <1%

Chen Chien-hsien <1%

Polymarket
NUOVO
icon for Hsu Hsin-ying

Hsu Hsin-ying

$2,201 Vol.

81%

icon for Cheng Chao-fang

Cheng Chao-fang

$1,858 Vol.

20%

icon for Lin Szu-ming

Lin Szu-ming

$291 Vol.

1%

icon for Chen Chien-hsien

Chen Chien-hsien

$280 Vol.

1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Hsu Hsin-ying secured the KMT nomination for Hsinchu County magistrate in March 2026 after a mixed primary that weighted polls at 70% and party-member votes at 30%, overcoming internal disputes with rival Chen Chien-hsien. The DPP nominated Zhubei Mayor Cheng Chao-fang in June. An August 2026 poll showed Hsu leading Cheng 41.4% to 38.1% in a head-to-head matchup, with Hsu maintaining an edge even in a three-way scenario including Chen at 12.6%. These results, alongside the county’s recent KMT incumbency and Hsu’s established local profile, underpin trader consensus favoring her as the leading outcome ahead of the November vote. Potential vote-splitting from independents remains a noted variable.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$4,631
Data di fine
28 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 8:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Hsu Hsin-ying secured the KMT nomination for Hsinchu County magistrate in March 2026 after a mixed primary that weighted polls at 70% and party-member votes at 30%, overcoming internal disputes with rival Chen Chien-hsien. The DPP nominated Zhubei Mayor Cheng Chao-fang in June. An August 2026 poll showed Hsu leading Cheng 41.4% to 38.1% in a head-to-head matchup, with Hsu maintaining an edge even in a three-way scenario including Chen at 12.6%. These results, alongside the county’s recent KMT incumbency and Hsu’s established local profile, underpin trader consensus favoring her as the leading outcome ahead of the November vote. Potential vote-splitting from independents remains a noted variable.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$4,631
Data di fine
28 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 8:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

Correlati

icon for Ann Kao vincerà le prossime elezioni per il sindaco di Hsinchu?

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icon for Chang Chia-chun vincerà le prossime elezioni per magistrato della contea di Yunlin?

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Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Vincitore delle elezioni del magistrato della contea di Hsinchu" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 4 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Hsu Hsin-ying" a 81%, seguito da "Cheng Chao-fang" a 20%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 81¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 81% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Vincitore delle elezioni del magistrato della contea di Hsinchu" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 14, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore delle elezioni del magistrato della contea di Hsinchu", esplora i 4 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore delle elezioni del magistrato della contea di Hsinchu" è "Hsu Hsin-ying" a 81%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 81% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Cheng Chao-fang" a 20%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore delle elezioni del magistrato della contea di Hsinchu" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.