The September 9 Republican primary for Rhode Island's 2nd Congressional District remains tightly contested between Victor Mellor and Stephen Skoly, with trader probabilities clustered near even levels amid sparse public polling and minimal late-cycle differentiation. Skoly secured the state party endorsement in June, while Mellor holds a substantial fundraising edge and an endorsement from former National Security Advisor Michael Flynn. Both candidates are political newcomers with overlapping conservative priorities on border security, parental rights, and Second Amendment issues. An upcoming debate offers one of the final opportunities for separation before voters decide, though the short timeline and similar profiles have so far sustained balanced market pricing reflecting uncertainty over turnout and messaging effectiveness.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNUOVO
NUOVO
9 set 2026
Victor Mellor
43%
Stephen Skoly
43%
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NUOVO
9 set 2026
Victor Mellor
$0 Vol.
43%
Stephen Skoly
$0 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 9, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The September 9 Republican primary for Rhode Island's 2nd Congressional District remains tightly contested between Victor Mellor and Stephen Skoly, with trader probabilities clustered near even levels amid sparse public polling and minimal late-cycle differentiation. Skoly secured the state party endorsement in June, while Mellor holds a substantial fundraising edge and an endorsement from former National Security Advisor Michael Flynn. Both candidates are political newcomers with overlapping conservative priorities on border security, parental rights, and Second Amendment issues. An upcoming debate offers one of the final opportunities for separation before voters decide, though the short timeline and similar profiles have so far sustained balanced market pricing reflecting uncertainty over turnout and messaging effectiveness.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 9, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercato aperto: Aug 21, 2026, 4:33 PM ET
Volume
$0Data di fine
9 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 21, 2026, 4:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 9, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The September 9 Republican primary for Rhode Island's 2nd Congressional District remains tightly contested between Victor Mellor and Stephen Skoly, with trader probabilities clustered near even levels amid sparse public polling and minimal late-cycle differentiation. Skoly secured the state party endorsement in June, while Mellor holds a substantial fundraising edge and an endorsement from former National Security Advisor Michael Flynn. Both candidates are political newcomers with overlapping conservative priorities on border security, parental rights, and Second Amendment issues. An upcoming debate offers one of the final opportunities for separation before voters decide, though the short timeline and similar profiles have so far sustained balanced market pricing reflecting uncertainty over turnout and messaging effectiveness.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 9, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$0Data di fine
9 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 21, 2026, 4:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The September 9 Republican primary for Rhode Island's 2nd Congressional District remains tightly contested between Victor Mellor and Stephen Skoly, with trader probabilities clustered near even levels amid sparse public polling and minimal late-cycle differentiation. Skoly secured the state party endorsement in June, while Mellor holds a substantial fundraising edge and an endorsement from former National Security Advisor Michael Flynn. Both candidates are political newcomers with overlapping conservative priorities on border security, parental rights, and Second Amendment issues. An upcoming debate offers one of the final opportunities for separation before voters decide, though the short timeline and similar profiles have so far sustained balanced market pricing reflecting uncertainty over turnout and messaging effectiveness.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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