The TX-30 district's strong Democratic tilt, reflected in a Cook PVI of D+25 and consistent 70-80% Democratic margins in recent presidential and Senate contests, underpins the 96% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Redistricting preserved the area's urban Dallas core and surrounding suburbs with high concentrations of Black and Hispanic voters, while the open seat—after the prior incumbent shifted to a Senate bid—produced a lopsided Democratic primary won by Frederick Haynes III. Republican nominee Everett Jackson advanced through a low-turnout primary but faces structural barriers in a district where forecasts from Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap remain limited absent major shifts in turnout or unforeseen events before the November general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoTX-30 House Election Winner
TX-30 House Election Winner
$48,309 Vol.
$48,309 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
3%
$48,309 Vol.
$48,309 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$5,583 Vol.
96%
Republican Party
$42,726 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The TX-30 district's strong Democratic tilt, reflected in a Cook PVI of D+25 and consistent 70-80% Democratic margins in recent presidential and Senate contests, underpins the 96% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Redistricting preserved the area's urban Dallas core and surrounding suburbs with high concentrations of Black and Hispanic voters, while the open seat—after the prior incumbent shifted to a Senate bid—produced a lopsided Democratic primary won by Frederick Haynes III. Republican nominee Everett Jackson advanced through a low-turnout primary but faces structural barriers in a district where forecasts from Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap remain limited absent major shifts in turnout or unforeseen events before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$48,309Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The TX-30 district's strong Democratic tilt, reflected in a Cook PVI of D+25 and consistent 70-80% Democratic margins in recent presidential and Senate contests, underpins the 96% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Redistricting preserved the area's urban Dallas core and surrounding suburbs with high concentrations of Black and Hispanic voters, while the open seat—after the prior incumbent shifted to a Senate bid—produced a lopsided Democratic primary won by Frederick Haynes III. Republican nominee Everett Jackson advanced through a low-turnout primary but faces structural barriers in a district where forecasts from Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap remain limited absent major shifts in turnout or unforeseen events before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$48,309Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...The TX-30 district's strong Democratic tilt, reflected in a Cook PVI of D+25 and consistent 70-80% Democratic margins in recent presidential and Senate contests, underpins the 96% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Redistricting preserved the area's urban Dallas core and surrounding suburbs with high concentrations of Black and Hispanic voters, while the open seat—after the prior incumbent shifted to a Senate bid—produced a lopsided Democratic primary won by Frederick Haynes III. Republican nominee Everett Jackson advanced through a low-turnout primary but faces structural barriers in a district where forecasts from Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap remain limited absent major shifts in turnout or unforeseen events before the November general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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