The district's strong Republican partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Political Report PVI of R+16 and consistent GOP performance in recent cycles, anchors trader consensus around a 91 percent probability for the Republican nominee. Incumbent Michael Rulli secured the Republican primary with roughly 76 percent of the vote in May 2026, while Democrat Elizabeth Kirtley prevailed in a fragmented Democratic primary. Ohio's post-2025 redistricting preserved the seat's rural, conservative character, limiting Democratic prospects in a general election scheduled for November 3. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican. Late developments such as a national partisan shift, major scandal, or unexpected health event involving the incumbent remain the primary factors that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoOH-06 House Election Winner
OH-06 House Election Winner
$22,964 Vol.
$22,964 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
8%
$22,964 Vol.
$22,964 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
$11,939 Vol.
91%
Democratic Party
$11,025 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's strong Republican partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Political Report PVI of R+16 and consistent GOP performance in recent cycles, anchors trader consensus around a 91 percent probability for the Republican nominee. Incumbent Michael Rulli secured the Republican primary with roughly 76 percent of the vote in May 2026, while Democrat Elizabeth Kirtley prevailed in a fragmented Democratic primary. Ohio's post-2025 redistricting preserved the seat's rural, conservative character, limiting Democratic prospects in a general election scheduled for November 3. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican. Late developments such as a national partisan shift, major scandal, or unexpected health event involving the incumbent remain the primary factors that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$22,964Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's strong Republican partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Political Report PVI of R+16 and consistent GOP performance in recent cycles, anchors trader consensus around a 91 percent probability for the Republican nominee. Incumbent Michael Rulli secured the Republican primary with roughly 76 percent of the vote in May 2026, while Democrat Elizabeth Kirtley prevailed in a fragmented Democratic primary. Ohio's post-2025 redistricting preserved the seat's rural, conservative character, limiting Democratic prospects in a general election scheduled for November 3. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican. Late developments such as a national partisan shift, major scandal, or unexpected health event involving the incumbent remain the primary factors that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$22,964Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's strong Republican partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Political Report PVI of R+16 and consistent GOP performance in recent cycles, anchors trader consensus around a 91 percent probability for the Republican nominee. Incumbent Michael Rulli secured the Republican primary with roughly 76 percent of the vote in May 2026, while Democrat Elizabeth Kirtley prevailed in a fragmented Democratic primary. Ohio's post-2025 redistricting preserved the seat's rural, conservative character, limiting Democratic prospects in a general election scheduled for November 3. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican. Late developments such as a national partisan shift, major scandal, or unexpected health event involving the incumbent remain the primary factors that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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