Incumbent Democratic Rep. Betty McCollum faces Republican engineer Paul Wikstrom in Minnesota's 4th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The Saint Paul-centered district, which includes Ramsey County and parts of Washington County, carries a strong Democratic lean reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent election results. McCollum, first elected in 2000, secured her party's nomination with over 85% in the August primary and has routinely won general elections by wide margins, including 67.6% in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Democratic. Trader consensus at 95.5% for Democrats aligns with the district's structural advantages and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the competitive landscape. A substantial shift would require unusual factors such as a late-breaking scandal, significant health event, or an extraordinary national partisan swing exceeding historical midterm patterns.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMN-04 House Election Winner
MN-04 House Election Winner
$24,286 Vol.
$24,286 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
4%
$24,286 Vol.
$24,286 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$4,052 Vol.
96%
Republican Party
$20,235 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Rep. Betty McCollum faces Republican engineer Paul Wikstrom in Minnesota's 4th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The Saint Paul-centered district, which includes Ramsey County and parts of Washington County, carries a strong Democratic lean reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent election results. McCollum, first elected in 2000, secured her party's nomination with over 85% in the August primary and has routinely won general elections by wide margins, including 67.6% in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Democratic. Trader consensus at 95.5% for Democrats aligns with the district's structural advantages and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the competitive landscape. A substantial shift would require unusual factors such as a late-breaking scandal, significant health event, or an extraordinary national partisan swing exceeding historical midterm patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$24,286Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Rep. Betty McCollum faces Republican engineer Paul Wikstrom in Minnesota's 4th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The Saint Paul-centered district, which includes Ramsey County and parts of Washington County, carries a strong Democratic lean reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent election results. McCollum, first elected in 2000, secured her party's nomination with over 85% in the August primary and has routinely won general elections by wide margins, including 67.6% in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Democratic. Trader consensus at 95.5% for Democrats aligns with the district's structural advantages and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the competitive landscape. A substantial shift would require unusual factors such as a late-breaking scandal, significant health event, or an extraordinary national partisan swing exceeding historical midterm patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$24,286Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Rep. Betty McCollum faces Republican engineer Paul Wikstrom in Minnesota's 4th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The Saint Paul-centered district, which includes Ramsey County and parts of Washington County, carries a strong Democratic lean reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent election results. McCollum, first elected in 2000, secured her party's nomination with over 85% in the August primary and has routinely won general elections by wide margins, including 67.6% in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Democratic. Trader consensus at 95.5% for Democrats aligns with the district's structural advantages and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the competitive landscape. A substantial shift would require unusual factors such as a late-breaking scandal, significant health event, or an extraordinary national partisan swing exceeding historical midterm patterns.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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