Minnesota's 3rd congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+11 partisan voting index and the 2024 general election results where the Democratic candidate secured 58.4% of the vote. Incumbent Kelly Morrison faces no significant primary opposition on August 11, 2026, while Republican contenders remain in their own primary process. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic outcome a 92.5% probability due to these structural factors. Late shifts could occur from unusually strong Republican national momentum, candidate controversies, or turnout anomalies, though such developments would represent departures from established patterns in this suburban Minneapolis-area district.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMN-03 House Election Winner
MN-03 House Election Winner
$10,058 Vol.
$10,058 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
$10,058 Vol.
$10,058 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$6,165 Vol.
93%
Republican Party
$3,893 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 3rd congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+11 partisan voting index and the 2024 general election results where the Democratic candidate secured 58.4% of the vote. Incumbent Kelly Morrison faces no significant primary opposition on August 11, 2026, while Republican contenders remain in their own primary process. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic outcome a 92.5% probability due to these structural factors. Late shifts could occur from unusually strong Republican national momentum, candidate controversies, or turnout anomalies, though such developments would represent departures from established patterns in this suburban Minneapolis-area district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$10,058Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 3rd congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+11 partisan voting index and the 2024 general election results where the Democratic candidate secured 58.4% of the vote. Incumbent Kelly Morrison faces no significant primary opposition on August 11, 2026, while Republican contenders remain in their own primary process. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic outcome a 92.5% probability due to these structural factors. Late shifts could occur from unusually strong Republican national momentum, candidate controversies, or turnout anomalies, though such developments would represent departures from established patterns in this suburban Minneapolis-area district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$10,058Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's 3rd congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+11 partisan voting index and the 2024 general election results where the Democratic candidate secured 58.4% of the vote. Incumbent Kelly Morrison faces no significant primary opposition on August 11, 2026, while Republican contenders remain in their own primary process. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic outcome a 92.5% probability due to these structural factors. Late shifts could occur from unusually strong Republican national momentum, candidate controversies, or turnout anomalies, though such developments would represent departures from established patterns in this suburban Minneapolis-area district.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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