Republican Nick Begich III, the incumbent, advanced from the August 2026 top-four primary as the clear frontrunner and now faces independent Bill Hill in the November general election. Alaska’s consistent Republican presidential lean, combined with Begich’s name recognition and consolidated party support after prior cycles, underpins trader consensus reflected in the 83.5% Republican probability. Recent polling from multiple firms shows Begich ahead by double digits in both first-round and final-round ranked-choice scenarios. Democratic candidates received limited primary support and the leading contender withdrew, leaving no viable path for that party. The race remains subject to standard uncertainties around turnout, ranked-choice vote flows, and any late developments before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoAK-AL House Election Winner
AK-AL House Election Winner
$39,857 Vol.
$39,857 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Republican Party
84%
Democratic Party
8%
$39,857 Vol.
$39,857 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Republican Party
$10,113 Vol.
84%
Democratic Party
$29,744 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Nick Begich III, the incumbent, advanced from the August 2026 top-four primary as the clear frontrunner and now faces independent Bill Hill in the November general election. Alaska’s consistent Republican presidential lean, combined with Begich’s name recognition and consolidated party support after prior cycles, underpins trader consensus reflected in the 83.5% Republican probability. Recent polling from multiple firms shows Begich ahead by double digits in both first-round and final-round ranked-choice scenarios. Democratic candidates received limited primary support and the leading contender withdrew, leaving no viable path for that party. The race remains subject to standard uncertainties around turnout, ranked-choice vote flows, and any late developments before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 27, 2026, 5:46 PM ET
Volume
$39,857Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 27, 2026, 5:46 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Nick Begich III, the incumbent, advanced from the August 2026 top-four primary as the clear frontrunner and now faces independent Bill Hill in the November general election. Alaska’s consistent Republican presidential lean, combined with Begich’s name recognition and consolidated party support after prior cycles, underpins trader consensus reflected in the 83.5% Republican probability. Recent polling from multiple firms shows Begich ahead by double digits in both first-round and final-round ranked-choice scenarios. Democratic candidates received limited primary support and the leading contender withdrew, leaving no viable path for that party. The race remains subject to standard uncertainties around turnout, ranked-choice vote flows, and any late developments before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$39,857Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 27, 2026, 5:46 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Nick Begich III, the incumbent, advanced from the August 2026 top-four primary as the clear frontrunner and now faces independent Bill Hill in the November general election. Alaska’s consistent Republican presidential lean, combined with Begich’s name recognition and consolidated party support after prior cycles, underpins trader consensus reflected in the 83.5% Republican probability. Recent polling from multiple firms shows Begich ahead by double digits in both first-round and final-round ranked-choice scenarios. Democratic candidates received limited primary support and the leading contender withdrew, leaving no viable path for that party. The race remains subject to standard uncertainties around turnout, ranked-choice vote flows, and any late developments before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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