Virginia's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent presidential and House races. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott, first elected in 1992, faces limited opposition ahead of the August 4 Democratic primary and November 3 general election, with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Solid Democratic. Recent mid-decade redistricting efforts have preserved this partisan balance without introducing competitive Republican challengers. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with these structural factors. A major national Republican wave, unexpected primary upset, or late-breaking scandal involving the incumbent could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in similarly safe districts show limited volatility.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVA-03 Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali
VA-03 Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali
$35,433 Vol.
$35,433 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
94%
Partito Repubblicano
7%
$35,433 Vol.
$35,433 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
$20,076 Vol.
94%
Partito Repubblicano
$15,357 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent presidential and House races. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott, first elected in 1992, faces limited opposition ahead of the August 4 Democratic primary and November 3 general election, with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Solid Democratic. Recent mid-decade redistricting efforts have preserved this partisan balance without introducing competitive Republican challengers. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with these structural factors. A major national Republican wave, unexpected primary upset, or late-breaking scandal involving the incumbent could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in similarly safe districts show limited volatility.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$35,433Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent presidential and House races. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott, first elected in 1992, faces limited opposition ahead of the August 4 Democratic primary and November 3 general election, with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Solid Democratic. Recent mid-decade redistricting efforts have preserved this partisan balance without introducing competitive Republican challengers. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with these structural factors. A major national Republican wave, unexpected primary upset, or late-breaking scandal involving the incumbent could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in similarly safe districts show limited volatility.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$35,433Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent presidential and House races. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott, first elected in 1992, faces limited opposition ahead of the August 4 Democratic primary and November 3 general election, with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Solid Democratic. Recent mid-decade redistricting efforts have preserved this partisan balance without introducing competitive Republican challengers. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with these structural factors. A major national Republican wave, unexpected primary upset, or late-breaking scandal involving the incumbent could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in similarly safe districts show limited volatility.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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