Virginia's 3rd congressional district features a longstanding Democratic structural edge, reflected in its D+18 partisan voting index and urban-suburban demographics across Hampton Roads. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott, who won 70 percent in the prior cycle, advanced unopposed through the August 4, 2026 Democratic primary, while Republican nominee Edwin Rivera secured the nomination amid minimal fundraising and visibility. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus near 96 percent for the Democratic nominee based on these fundamentals and the absence of competitive polling or spending data. A major scandal, health event, or extreme national political shift could theoretically alter the outcome before November 3, though the district's composition and resource gap present significant barriers.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVA-03 Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali
VA-03 Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali
$63,165 Vol.
$63,165 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
96%
Partito Repubblicano
2%
$63,165 Vol.
$63,165 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
$21,571 Vol.
96%
Partito Repubblicano
$41,595 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 3rd congressional district features a longstanding Democratic structural edge, reflected in its D+18 partisan voting index and urban-suburban demographics across Hampton Roads. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott, who won 70 percent in the prior cycle, advanced unopposed through the August 4, 2026 Democratic primary, while Republican nominee Edwin Rivera secured the nomination amid minimal fundraising and visibility. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus near 96 percent for the Democratic nominee based on these fundamentals and the absence of competitive polling or spending data. A major scandal, health event, or extreme national political shift could theoretically alter the outcome before November 3, though the district's composition and resource gap present significant barriers.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$63,165Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 3rd congressional district features a longstanding Democratic structural edge, reflected in its D+18 partisan voting index and urban-suburban demographics across Hampton Roads. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott, who won 70 percent in the prior cycle, advanced unopposed through the August 4, 2026 Democratic primary, while Republican nominee Edwin Rivera secured the nomination amid minimal fundraising and visibility. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus near 96 percent for the Democratic nominee based on these fundamentals and the absence of competitive polling or spending data. A major scandal, health event, or extreme national political shift could theoretically alter the outcome before November 3, though the district's composition and resource gap present significant barriers.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$63,165Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 3rd congressional district features a longstanding Democratic structural edge, reflected in its D+18 partisan voting index and urban-suburban demographics across Hampton Roads. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott, who won 70 percent in the prior cycle, advanced unopposed through the August 4, 2026 Democratic primary, while Republican nominee Edwin Rivera secured the nomination amid minimal fundraising and visibility. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus near 96 percent for the Democratic nominee based on these fundamentals and the absence of competitive polling or spending data. A major scandal, health event, or extreme national political shift could theoretically alter the outcome before November 3, though the district's composition and resource gap present significant barriers.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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